13. Mars 
    Uffe Ravnskov 
    Skeptics!
    As I mentioned in my previous letter I have invited Professor
    emer. Morley Sutter to become a member of our group. It is a pleasure for me tell you that
    he has now joned us. His letter is enclosed below.  
    I will highly
    recommend the two papers mentioned in the letter (one of them is attached, the other one
    will be sent directly to you by Morley because a page was missing in the copy that I
    received). Most probably Paul Rosch and also I myself will object to Morleys
    scepticism against stress as a causal factor of CHD - a subject for future
    discussions.
    The idea of atherosclerosis having an infectious origin, however, is also one of my
    favorite hypotheses and many supportive observations have been published since Morleys
    1995 paper. This is a subject we haven´t discussed at all. Let Morleys paper be an
    inspiration.  Uffe   
    top 
    Paul Rosch
    Interesting paper (By
    Morley Sutter) but would object to conclusions of non-role of stress in ulcers or
    tuberculosis.  As Bill Stehbens would probably point out, the tubercle bacillus is
    the causa vera of tuberculosis since the disorder cannot occur if it is absent.
      H. pylori may play a similar role for most peptic ulcers but the fact is that the
    vast majority of patients with H. pylori do not develop clinical pathology and the same is
    true for tuberculosis.  Stress lowers immune system resistance to these and other
    pathogens and numerous epidemiological studies show its role in the increased incidence of
    tb in Irish immigrants to the U.S. in the 19th century due to the potato famine
    in Ireland and Navajo Indians transplanted to reservations where sanitary conditions were
    actually better.  It seems quite clear that tb was precipitated by the stress of
    sudden change and relative absence of family ties and social support.  The role of
    stress in accelerated atherosclerosis, coronary heart disease and sudden death is also
    well established, particularly with respect to depression, acute and chronic anxiety
    states, etc. as I have pointed out elsewhere. Paul 
    top  
    Tom Clayton
    Does anybody know
    where I can get a synopsis of the acid causes ulcers mistakes that were 
    made years ago before it was recognized that helicobacter pylori was causing most of
    them? 
    That is, a brief historical summary of what happened and how the incorrect assumption that
    acid causes ulcers was responsible for creating an entire branch of medical
    treatment where the wrong things were done? Thanks!! Tom  
      
    Morley Sutter
    Dear
    All,   It is delightful to read your
    comments midst all the faddish statements about cholesterol and lipids in atherosclerosis.
      The attached paper which appeared in Perspectives in Biology and Medicine is the
    distillation of my thoughts about diseases including those in which cholesterol is
    deposited abnormally in various tissues. I would add that in writing about assigning
    causation, I failed to adequately stress that any intervention must be selective and do
    only one thing if the intervention (e.g. drug) is to be used as a tool to assign
    causation.  This is the problem with the statins: they have more than one
    pharmacological action and their ability to alter lipids might or might not be involved
    any modestly beneficial effects they posses (Relative risk reduction of approx 25%
    regrdless of pre-existing lipid status (just like aspirin)!
       At any rate I hope you find this article of interest. 
    Regards to all and
    thank you Uffe for accepting me as a member of your group.
       Morley  
    top 
    Morley Sutter
    Dear Doctor
    Rosch,   Thanks for your comments on my
    editorial.
      As you can tell, I think that stress as a causal factor in
    disease, is
    not a very useful concept.  One mans stress is another mans
    thrill.  
    The word
    stress, or more accurately, Generalised stress reaction was
    introduced into medical parlance by Hans Selye at the University of Montreal in relation
    to his production of severe pathology in rats given large doses of cortisol and made
    potasium deficient.   The word stress is usually used as a misnomer for
    anxiety. The
    latter is a problem for all of us in terms of our ability
    to function.  
    I suggest that
    attempts to causally link the presence of stress and more importantly its
    reduction or removal, to any disease have been singularly unsuccessful.  I
    realise that certain activities called stressful such as high level exercise put people at
    some risk of heart attacks, perhaps due to high sympathetic nervous activity.  But
    such precipitating factors are not what most people think of as the stress of daily
    living.  
    You mention TB or
    peptic ulcer not occuring in every one who harbours the microbes.  This is true and
    we are usually overly simplistic in thinking about parasite-host interactions which
    clearly are altered by genetic make-up, nutrition and how large the dose of
    microbe is.  The evidence that ordinary stress of daily living alters our response to
    microbial invasion is minimal but it is possible.  
    I actually think that
    microbes are the necessary but insufficient cause of most chronic diseases, but am
    well aware how difficult it is to establish a clear relationship.  The best evidence
    must come from attempts to manipulate or eradicate the microbe but if its effect is of the
    hit and run variety, life gets very complicated indeed. At any
    rate, if
    you have read this far, I am grateful. Yours sincerely,
      Morley 
      top 
    Paul Rosch 
    Dear Morley and Uffe:
    I was
    a Fellow at Hans Selyes Institute of Experimental Medicine and Surgery at the
    University of Montreal in 1951, shortly after his magnum opus Stress was
    published,
      co-authored several papers and chapters with him, including the lead chapter
    Integration of Endocrinology for the AMA Textbook of Glandular Physiology and Therapy
    and enjoyed a close personal and professional relationship with him until his death.
       The term stress was deleted from his original 1936 article in Nature (A
    Syndrome Caused By Diverse Nocuous Agents) by the editor because it was
    confusing.  
    At the time, the general consensus was that every disease had a specific cause based on
    Kochs postulates.  The tubercle bacillus caused tuberculosis, anthrax bacillus
    caused anthrax, etc.  What Selye proposed was quite different, namely that many
    difference agencies both physical and mental could cause the same pathology.   
    (This was not based on injecting cortisol or compound F (which was not available at the
    time) or potassium depletion.)
               
    Unfortunately, he was not aware
    that stress had been used for centuries in physics to explain elasticity, the property of
    a material that allows it to resume its original size and shape after having been
    compressed or stretched by an external force.  As expressed in Hookes Law of
    1658, the magnitude of an external force, or stress, produces a proportional amount
    of deformation, or strain, in a malleable metal.  The maximum amount of stress
    a material can withstand before becoming permanently deformed is referred to as its
    elastic limit.  This ratio of stress to strain is a characteristic property of each
    material, and is called the modulus of elasticity.  Its value is high for rigid
    materials like steel, and much lower for flexible metals like tin.  Selye several
    times complained to me that had his knowledge of English been more precise, he would have
    gone down in history as the father of the strain concept.
                  
    This created
    considerable confusion when his research had to be translated into foreign
    languages.
      There was no suitable word or phrase that could convey what he meant, since he was
    really describing strain.  In 1946, when he was asked to give an address at the
    prestigious Collège de France the academicians responsible for maintaining the purity of
    the French language struggled with this problem for several days, and subsequently decided
    that a new word would have to be created.  Apparently, the male chauvinists
    prevailed, and le stress was born, quickly followed by el stress, il stress,
    lo stress, der stress in other European languages, and similar neologisms in
    Russian, Japanese, Chinese and Arabic.  Stress is one of the very few words you will
    see preserved in English in these latter languages.  Selyes concept of stress
    and its relationship to illness quickly spread from the research laboratory to all
    branches of medicine, and stress ultimately became a buzz word in vernacular
    speech.  However, the term was used interchangeably to describe both physical and
    emotional challenges, the bodys response to such stimuli, as well as the ultimate
    result of this interaction.  Thus, an unreasonable and over demanding boss might give
    you heartburn or stomach pain, which eventually resulted in an ulcer.  For some
    people, stress was the bad boss, while others used stress to describe either their
    agita or their ulcer.   
    Because it was
    clear that most people viewed stress as some unpleasant threat, he had to create a new
    word, stressor, in order to distinguish between stimulus and
    response.  
    Even Selye had difficulties when he tried to extrapolate his laboratory research to
    humans.  In helping to prepare the First Annual Report On Stress in 1951, I included
    the comments of one critic in the BMJ, who, using verbatim citations from Selyes own
    writings, concluded that Stress, in addition to being itself, was also the cause of
    itself, and the result of itself.   
     Selye struggled unsuccessfully throughout
    his life to come up with a satisfactory definition of stress and in his later
    years, in
    attempting to explain his theories to a lay public, settled on The rate of wear and
    tear on the body, which is actually a pretty good definition of biological
    aging.
         
    Although
    stress cannot be defined scientifically (much less quantified) since it is a highly
    personalized phenomenon it is not likely to be replaced by any other term or phrase that
    more meaningfully reflects the myriad mind/body relationships that contribute to disease
    or promote health and I have written a great deal about this.  With respect to
    coronary heart disease and other disorders due to accelerated atherosclerosis there are
    numerous mechanisms other than increased sympathetic tone that can be involved and
    verified by demonstrating that stress reduction strategies can prevent or mitigate this
    effect as I pointed out in an Editorial in Stress Medicine several years ago.          
     The American
    Institute of Stress was formed in 1978 and my involvement in this was at Selyes
    request and you can find out more about this on our web site www.stress.org  Sorry to have gone on for so long
    and as you wrote At any rate, if you have read this far, I am grateful. Paul
    J. Rosch, M.D.  President, The American
    Institute of Stress  
     top 
    Martin Sturman
    Dear Tom, Acid Does
    cause ulcers, otherwise proton pump inhibitors, H-2 blockers, and antacids would not
    work.
    And why would people with achlorhydria not get peptic ulcer? I am quite puzzled by your
    suggestion that this is mistaken. I also agree with my friend Dr. Paul Rosch- that stress
    and other factors must be considered in the causation of ulcer.        Kochs
    Postulates for peptic ulcer have never been fulfilled by H. pylori.
    Similarly, as Blaser observes, ulcer disease was rare in the days when H. pylori was highly prevalent in what
    now are developed countries, and is uncommon today in many developing countries where
    almost all adults are colonized!!! Why did ulcer disease arise just as H. pylori was
    beginning to recede from humans? Moreover, no one knows which of its highly diverse
    strains could be related to the genesis of peptic ulcer since the majority of
    people Without Ulcer also harbor this organism. It is highly likely that H. pylori is in
    fact a commensal organism present in human stomachs for thousands of years. Strains differ
    among geographic regions, and the relation between genotypes and clinical outcomes as well
    as other interesting facts about Helicobacter are covered nicely in an editorial In
    a World of black and White, Helicobacter pylori Is Gray Blaser, mj,
    Ann.Int.
    Med;130:8;695-697 20 Apr. 1999 available at http://www.acponline.org The issue of
    which patients to treat is still being debated in terms of susceptibility to reflux
    disease, Barret esophagus, and adenocarcinomas of the lower esophagus. Much remains
    unknown.   I also refer you to one of the
    best articles on the subject, Not all Helicobacter pylori strains are created
    equal:
    should all be eliminated?, also by Blaser in Lancet Apr.5, 1997;349: 1020-1022.
    Yes,
    HCl secreted by the stomach IS the proximate cause of ulcer. In my opinion the H. pylori
    story if far from told-and may never be resolved. It reminds me a bit of the remark
    attributed to Foucault about Derrida, He gives (bovine feces) a bad
    name. Best wishes, Martin 
      top 
    18.3 
    Bogdan Sikorski 
    Dear Morley, Paul and
    others  For what it is worth, may I have a go
    at this interesting topic - stress and disease. There is volumes of evidence suggesting
    the importance of stress in  
    etiology of various diseases. The problem is that stress is not cited as a  key word in many of them. For
    instance, the effect
    of stress on the performance of the immune system has been well and extensively
    documented. There are even number of animal odels of stress which are use in the research
    - stomach ulcer is the one that comes to my mind at present. Then again there is an
    interaction between stress and nutrition. Not many of you may realize that different
    nutrition predisposes to a  particular
    response to a given stress stimulus. Generally speaking, many followers of JKs diet,
    including me, have reported different stress levels in response to similar stimuli
    (work
    stress, physical exercise, physical exhaustion, accident, et c.), compared with responses
    on a previous nutrition.  It appears that nutritional modification has a lot to do
    with the way the body handles the stress.To my surprise JK (Jan Kwasniewski for new
    members) does not consider stress to have much influence on disease, particularly stomach
    ulcers. But I have a feeling that he is wrong there - big time, at least as far as I can
    see based on the evidence I had a chance to see.May I suggest that anyone wanting to have
    a clear picture about ulcer etiology and metabolic/pharmacological mechanisms involved
    should follow the research of two real heavy weights in that area - Prof. S. Konturek and
    Prof. T. Brzozowski, both from the Institute of Physiology, Jagielonian Univ.
    (previously
    Medical Academy) in Krakow.Their publications are easily found on the
    Medline. But be
    prepared for a large number of papers in the last 20 years. 
    Stress appears to be a very complicated topic, particularly when one takes into
    consideration interaction with nutrition.For instance, it is well known that both animals
    and humans can die of stress. Animals which are being chased and humans who have lost
    hope. The latter have been described in the literature (factual), for instance
    concentration camp inmates in German (not Polish as a certain group insists on
    calling them) camps during WWII.Surprising as it may be, many concentration camp inmates
    cured themselves of different diseases, but most of them ended up with
    different ones (mainly infectious) when they were lucky to survive (nutrition?).
    Surprisingly also, JK insists that not many, if any, had problems with stomach or duodenal
    ulcers while in camps. I think his memory will be quite good since he had a chance to talk
    to few of these survivors and probably even treat them. Bogdan 
    top  
    Malcolm Kendrick
    Dear All, I think that
    you have to separate mental, from physical stress. For example, 
    the stress of surgery is mainly that of physical assualt on the body. Known, in surgey as
    aggression. Aggression would also cover road traffic accidents,
    knifing,
    shooting etc. 
    In this situation, the metabolism enters a state known as Post-aggression metabolism. This
    is characterised by high circulating levels of adrenaline, growth hormone, cortisol and
    glucagon. This state can be replicated by giving these four hormones in physiological
    doses. When you do this, you create severe insulin resistance (IR), hyperinsulinaemia and
    hyperglycaeamia 
    (post glucose tolerance test). In general the insulin and sugar levels are three times
    higher than normal in PAM .  
    Using this model of stress-hormones lead to IR, it can be shown that patients
    in a state of depression and vital exhaustion (VE) also demonstrate raised levels of
    stress hormones. (This is also true of anxiety). Depressed patients develop insulin
    resistance (sometimes frank diabetes), which recovers when the depression is cured (or
    just goes away). Which shows that there is a clear causal associaiton between depression
    and insulin resistance (mediated by the hypothalamic pituitary adrenal axis HPA-axis and -
    mainly - excess cortisol secretion).
            So it is possible to see the connection
    between acute, physical stress, and longer term psychologcial stress through
    the HPA-axi,s and the abnormal secretion of the stress hormones. This, I
    believe, is where
    the link between stress and CHD is made via syndrome X.  Regards  Malcolm 
    top  
    Paul
    Rosch. 
    Dear Malcolm:
             A complex and controversial
    subject and while I agree with most of what you say there are other factors to
    consider.
      I would also like to congratulate you on the draft of your book which you kindly
    asked me to review.  I was fortunate to know both Paul Dudley White  and George
    Pickering who were superb clinicians sensitive to the role of stress and emotions in
    cardiovascular disease and who recognized that the secret in the cure of the patient
    is in the care of the patient.   
     With respect to the MRFIT study it should be
    mentioned that this approximately $120 million multi-center study conducted over seven
    years was designed to show that not only reduction of cholesterol but also the other
    standard risk factors of hypertension and cigarette smoking would lower the
    incidence of coronary morbidity and mortality.  Although the risk factor lowering
    goal was achieved for all, there was no reduction in fatality rates, which were actually
    higher in a subset of hypertensives treated with diuretics, probably because of terminal
    arrhythmias due to hypokalemia.   
     Bradford Hills Canons are
    certainly on target but I believe that Bill Stehbens has done an even more persuasive job
    of debunking the current risk factor dogma for CHD as presented at one of our Congresses
    years ago, which also featured presentations by George Mann, Ray Rosenman, Stewart Wolf
    and others that supported his views.  Finally, I did not see any reference to  
    the research of  Pamela Peeke and others on the role of stress and increased cortisol
    in abdominal obesity, especially in perimenopausal women.        
     
    I was just interviewed by a reporter  from the LA Times who is doing an
    article on this subject as well as the role of insulin resistance in obesity and Type 2
    diabetes and have reproduced some of the correspondence below.  As indicated, it is
    likely that our next Congress will be devoted  to various aspects of this intriguing
    subject and would welcome your participation in this.  Details will be posted on our
    web site www.stress.org, which also contains
    highlights on past Congresses.  Congratulations again on your book and hope some of
    the above comments may prove helpful  
      
    subject:
                         
    stress Re: Los Angeles Times story -  
            
    Patricia King wrote:
                         
    Dr. Rosch: I looked up your newsletters. Its #6, 2000 where you discuss
    weight and stress. If you could fax a copy to me, that would be great 415/258-9782.
    Youve already answered my question about how solid the connection is between
    overweight/obesity and stress and Im sure your newsletter will help as
    well. So in
    my questions Id like to focus on treatments: Are there studies that show that
    destressing techniques lead to permanent weight loss? Or are there studies that show that
    destressing techniques combined with a changed diet words for weight loss? Has any one
    destressing approach been shown to work better than any other approach? Is, for
    example, exercise, as some say, the best destressing technique? Also, there are biochemically
    oriented doctors who believe that when it comes to treating overweight
    people, destressing
    techniques are not enough for those genetically predisposed to stress eat. They believe
    you have to boost whichever neurotransmitters in the brain need boosting using drugs or
    amino acids. That argument goes, as Im sure you know, that stress makes the
    neurotransmitter imbalance worse and no amount of destressing is going to work unless you
    balance the neurotransmitters. Without such treatment, they argue, most people
    backslide,
    gaining all the weight theyve lost and more. Many thanks in advance for your input.
    Patricia KingLos Angeles Times415/455-0438    
    Dear Patricia:  
    The links between
    stress and obesity are quite complex and involve psychological, metabolic and genetic
    influences that mediate their effects through varied neuroendocrine and hormonal
    pathways.
      Stress-related insulin resistance that leads to obesity, Type II diabetes and
    Syndrome X is one example.  Why and when we eat certain foods or eat too much is also
    often stress related, particularly in women.  One recent study evaluated over 5000
    individuals at birth and at age 1, 14 and 31.  Based on eating habits and stress
    coping characteristics, adults who said they often tried to make themselves feel better by
    eating were designated as stress-driven eaters.  Comfort foods tended to
    be greasy, salty or sweet.  Women who felt a lack of emotional support in their lives
    had a greater tendency to eat to cope with stress.  Men in this category were apt to
    be single, divorced or frequently unemployed.  This tendency was also seen in those
    with academic degrees despite the fact that higher education is associated with lower
    obesity rates.  Not surprisingly, the stress-driven eaters and especially females
    weighed more on average and had a higher body mass index and also drank more
    alcohol.
    Popular diet plans like Weight Watchers and Jenny Craig now routinely include stress
    management as an integral part of their overall program because of studies showing its
    proven benefits.  However it is important to recognize that stress is different for
    each of us.  Things that are distressful for some individuals can be pleasurable for
    others or seemingly have little effect either way, as can be readily illustrated by
    watching passengers on a roller coaster ride.  Similarly, no stress reduction
    strategy works for everyone.  Jogging and meditation are fine for some but prove
    dull, boring and stressful when arbitrarily imposed on others.  You have to find
    something you enjoy and will adhere to rather than complying with some regimen that you
    will most likely quit after a short period.  Regular aerobic exercise has some
    advantages since it helps burn up calories in addition to reducing stress for certain
    individuals.  
            
    The neurotransmitter story is also complicated and while serotonin, dopamine and others
    play an important role in the response to stress, it is not their levels but rather the
    balance between them that is most important.  In addition to
    medications, there are
    also nutritional supplements that reduce stress and therefore obesity and some that can be
    useful in losing weight that helps lower stress levels for many, thus breaking up the
    vicious cycle of stressovereatingobesitystress.   I have also
    written a great deal about all of the above in other Newsletters but will fax you the
    issue requested.  It is possible that our next Congress will deal with this
    fascinating topic. (see www.stress.org)   
    If I can be of any further assistance, let me know. Paul J. Rosch, M.D  
      
    Jørgen Vesti
    Nielsen
    Dear all sceptics    The link between depression and
    mortality after heart infarction is clear 
    enough. (see Medline for hundreds of references) A two to fourfold mortality increase is
    the rule in depressed patients. Note: 200 - to 400 percent!! (The risk reductions in
    patients after heart infarctions, which are brought about by medical interventions, are in
    the range of 25-30 percent). Something important is certainly happening in the depressive
    state influencing risk of dying of heart disease. High cortisol output, activation of the
    HPA axis, probably. Insulin resistance with all the concomitant abnormalities affecting
    vessels. Try reading Malcolms (not yet published) book. Read it --  and love
    it.  Jorgen  
      top 
    Morley Sutter
    Dear Doctor
    Vesti-Nielsen,  With all due respect, the
    correlation between depression and mortality in heart attacks unfortunately does not
    demonstrate a causal relationship between the two phenomena.  It is quite possible
    that a common factor initiates both.  For instance what is the role ( if any) of
    Borna virus in depression and/or heart disease?  Does treatment of depression reduce
    the mortality due to coronary artery disease?  The uncertainty of the 
    relationship between these events must always be part of the equation. I firmly believe
    that observational studies (e.g., epidemiology can proveide clues but never conclusion
    concerning causal relationships. With all good wishes, Morley    
      
    19.3. 
    Igor Stojiljkovics 
    Dear Uffe: 
    >  I have been following the discussion on the role of different factors in
    causation of CHD with great interest. Although I do not study this field in particular I
    found two data quite believeble: the role of iron excess and the possibility of infectious
    agent as a causative agent of CHD. I would like to remind you and possibly others that
    iron is a rate-limiting factor for growth of many microorganisms in the body.
    Unfortunately, not much is known about iron assimilation systems of C. pneumoniae, one
    possible candidate for the infectious origin of CHD. Since this microorganism is an
    intracellular pathogen, it probably obtains iron via a normal tranferrin-dependent uptake
    of iron by infected endothelial cells. Hopefully, better understanding of iron
    assimilation system of obligate intracellular pathogens will asist us in understanding of
    seemingly unrelated diseases.  
    The other info that I
    have found is that some micoroorganisms have sterols in their membranes (Mycoplasmae; I do
    not know whether C. pneumoniae has the same composition). Could it be that statins
    prevent growth and developemnt of these miroorganisms in the endothelial cells of CHD
    patients and therefore limit the progression of diseases? Sincerely  igor  
    top  
    20. Mars 
    Jerome Sullivan 
    Intracellular
    growth of C pneumoniae appears to be inhibited by iron restriction or iron
    chelation. (See
    attached pdf paper:  Sullivan JL, Weinberg ED. Iron and the role of Chlamydia
    pneumoniae in heart disease. Emerging Infectious Diseases 1999;5:724-6.
    Unfortunately,
    portions of the papers before and after this paper are included in the pdf.) There is also
    an interesting paper in this months European Journal of Clinical Investigation on
    inhibition by iron chelation of inflammatory response of C pneumoniae infected endothelial
    cells (See abstract below). In fact a supplement to the March 2002 issue of EJCI is
    devoted to various aspects of the role of iron in disease, including important
    contributions on iron and heart disease.  Sincerely,  Jerome 
     
    Visseren FL, Verkerk MS, van Der BT et al. Iron chelation and hydroxyl radical scavenging
    reduce the inflammatory response of endothelial cells after infection with Chlamydia
    pneumoniae or influenza A. Eur J Clin Invest. 2002;32 Suppl 1:84-90.  Abstract:
    Background: Chronic low-grade inflammation is associated with increased risk of vascular
    diseases. The source of inflammation is unknown but may well be chronic and/or repetitive
    infections with microorganisms. Direct infection of endothelial cells (ECs) may also be a
    starting point for atherogenesis by initiating endothelial procoagulant activity,
    increased monocyte adherence and increased cytokine production. We hypothesized that
    iron-mediated intracellular hydroxyl radical formation after infection is a key event in
    triggering the production of interleukin-6 (IL-6) by ECs in vitro. METHODS: Cultured ECs
    were incubated with Fe(II) and Fe(III) or infected with Chlamydia pneumoniae or influenza
    A/H1N1/Taiwan/1/81 for 48 and 24 h, respectively. To determine the role of iron and
    reactive oxygen species, cells were coincubated with the H2O2 scavenger
    N-acetyl-l-cysteine, with the iron chelator deferoxamine (DFO) or with the intracellular
    hydroxyl radical scavenger dimethylthiourea (DMTU). After the incubation periods,
    supernatants were harvested for IL-6 determination. RESULTS: Incubating ECs with
    Fe(II)
    and Fe(III) resulted in increased IL-6 production. Similarly, infection with C. pneumoniae
    and influenza A also induced an IL-6 response. Coincubating ECs with DFO or DMTU blocked
    this response. Nuclear factor-kappaB activity was increased after infection and blocked by
    coincubation with DFO or DMTU. CONCLUSION: Cultured ECs respond to infection and iron
    incubation with increased production of IL-6. Iron, the generation of intracellular
    hydroxyl radical and NF-kappaB activity are essential in cellular activation, suggesting
    that reactive oxygen species generated in the HaberWeiss reaction are essential in
    invoking an immunological response to infection by ECs. 
      top 
    Malcolm Kendricks
    Dear all,  I too believe that some factor has to damage the
    endothelium to get atherosclerosis started, and an infective agent seems as probable as
    any other (single) factor. My difficulty with this hypothesis is the difficulty that I
    normally have with any single extrinsic factor being the cause of CHD. In this case, can
    different rates of bactieral infection, in different countries, explain the pattern of CHD
    throughout the world over the last fifty years?   
    With regard to the
    iron concept, this took hold, I believe, because women tend to have less CHD
    (age-matched)
    than men, although their CHD rate appears to accelerate rapidly after the menopause -
    and women lose more iron than men through their periods. Ergo, less iron, less
    CHD. However, as some of you will know, it is possible to find countries where women have more
    CHD than men e.g. Brazil. And when women develop type II diabetes all relative protection
    against CHD disappears. In addition, women in Scotland (for example) have more CHD than
    men in France.   In short, I think the
    biological plausibility of iron and/or infectious agents causing atherosclerotic plaques
    is strong. It just doesnt fit the pattern of CHD. Or if it does, I cant see
    how it does. Regards  Malcolm 
     
    Morley Sutter
    Dear All:  May I add my 2-cents worth to the comments by
    Malcolm and Jerome on this topic.   First the
    infecting agents should not be limited to bacteria: the term microbe seems preferable.
      Viruses could well be culprits in iniiation of inflammation leading to
    atherosclerosis.      
    Second, any disease
    where the etiolgy involves a microbe, is subject to the vagaries of host-parasite
    interaction.  The latter clearly involves pathogen load, nutrition, immune status and
    genetic makeup of both host and parasite.  We dont get a cold eachtime we are
    exposed to the cold virus.    
    Third, the pathology
    of atherosclerosis must be more accurately staged and/or defined than at present.  
    For instance do all fatty streaks lead to plaques at that site?  An
    analogy would be caseation which occurs with both TB and sarcoidosis but they are
    distinguishable.    
    Fourth, the
    identification of the presence of an infecting agent such as Chlamydia pneumoniae should
    not depend solely on antibody identification.  As with streptococcal infections
    change in titre is likely much more important than an single determination.  More
    reliable would be detection of the organism itself.  
    Fifth, the waxing and
    waning of atheroscleosis at different times in diffeerent places was noted by Skrabanek in
    a publication in the BMJ in 1988 or 89.  Apparently Chlamydia pneumoniae has
    approximately a cycle of seven years in Japan.  All microbially-associated epidemics
    cycle as apparently does atherosclerosis.   
    Sixth and (finally)
    any necessary but insufficient causal agent should increase incidence of disease by
    at least 10-fold as does cigarette smoking and lung cancer.  Cholesterol fails
    miserably in this test as atherosclerosis currently is defined. Comments on and criticism
    of the above points are welcome. Warmest regrds to all, 
    Morley
    Sutter. 
      
    21.Mars 
    Malcolm Kendricks 
    Morley,  I agree that microbial infections
    wax and wane, as have CHD rates throughout the world. However, the cycle in CHD in the USA
    and the UK would appear to be in the order of one hundred years - which doesnt
    correlate at all with chlamydia (or any other infectious agent that I have ever heard of)    In addition, within the USA, the rate
    of CHD in caucasians has reduced by ~50% in the last thirty years, yet the rate has gone
    up in African Americans during that period. These are two populations that live side by
    side. Perhaps most difficult to explain would be the fact that, in Finland, those of
    Eastern Orthodox religion suffer five times the rate of CHD of Lutharians - in the same
    communities. I cannot believe that religion protects against infection. Nor can I believe
    that all of Eastern Europe suddenly became exposed to a unique infective agent in the last
    ten or fifteen years. The rate of CHD in Russia increased by 70% during the 1990s.
    (Absolute rate) Life expectancy dropped by almost five years in a four year period. From,
    if memory serves, 63 to 58.  Equally, Asian
    Indians in the USA have three times the rate of surrounding Caucasians. In what way can
    they be uniquely infected? (By the way, the rate of CHD in emigrant Asian indians in the
    USA and the UK is approximately twenty times as high as the rate of CHD in rural Asian
    Indians).   Equally, whilst the rate of
    infection with Chlamydia may have waxed and waned in Japan over a seven year
    cycle, there
    is no corresponding cycle of CHD. Death rates from CHD in Japan have dropped steadily for
    the last thirty years.   Again, if you
    expose the infective agent causes CHD hypothesis to some closer
    epidemiological scrutiny, I cant see any causal correlation appearing.  By the way, I fully agree that a more
    accurate definition of atherosclerosis is needed. The AHA have produced a scientific
    statement on early and late stage atherosclerosis (about 150 pages between
    them). You can
    find it on their website. Frankly the only thing it did for me was to cure any tendency to
    insomnia. As to the key quesiton, do fatty streaks develop into the full atherosclerotic
    plaque - deathly silence. No-one has actually sat and watched a fatty streak over a five
    year period. Realistically (in a human) how could you?
       Regards   Malcolm 
    Bogdan
    Sikorski 
    Dear Malcolm,
    Morley and others  Looking for infectious
    trigger (as a main cause) of atherosclerosis seems  to
    me a futile exercise. It is logical I hope that diseased organism would be more
    predisposed to infection or colonization by normally non-pathogenic or kept-in-check
    organisms. For years people have been trying to pin-point a causative organism on MS and
    have failed. The problem is that most MS patients come down with all sorts of
    infections,
    because as you know their immune system is off the track big time.Secondly,
    atherosclerosis as you know is not a general disease - it is focal (localized in
    regions of sharp curvatures and branching) in nature and in many cases found
    exclusively in very specific regions of particular arteries. As some of you might have
    seen during visits to prosectorium, in some individuals artery blockages are found in the
    femoral arteries but not  
    in the carotids. Some arteries never develop atherosclerosis, and in coronaries apparently
    atherosclerosis disappears as they enter the muscle! If it were infection-based you would
    need a pretty good explanation for those strange preferences.  I have found two
    excellent chapters (21 & 22) on the mechanism of atherosclerosis in the Handbook
    of Bioengineering (1987) R Skalak & Shu  
    Chien eds. Mc Graw-Hill Book Company. Amazing that such an information is not available in
    many modern physiology and pathophysiology textbooks. I guess engineers do not buy crap
    that has invaded (been pushed in by drug lobby?) respectable medical textbooks
    these days. Whatever happen to Best & Taylor, vintage 9th edition. Some of
    you claim that atherosclerosis is initiated within endothelial cells by specific
    defects.
    Yet atherosclerotic changes begin in the intima!, starting with a smooth muscle
    proliferation and then build up of fat and cholesterol (which nota bene has to be made in
    situ (Stout!!!) under the promoting influence of insulin. Hong Li describes the process of
     
    HMGCR upregulation in the endothelium. I bet the same happens in the smooth muscle cells
    in response to ischemia (unoxia) or a similar assault, as is the case in kidney
    (Zager). Why? I do not know, but nutrition must have an influence, as obviously has the mechanical
    stress. It is only logical that well nourished body (blood vessels) can tolerate
    mechanical stress better than malnourished one. As to infective agents being responsible
    for diseases (?) - I would like to point your attention to an excellent and very
    controversial article in the last Nexus by Greg Fredericks. Super-microscopes and
    the mysteries of morphogenesis. You may also try the website nu-lookbiologics@bigpond.com.   
    Does the name Bechamp or Rife ring the bell? Is it possible that what we were told in
    microbiology classes is not exactly correct? Regards to you all  Bogdan  
      
    Robert
    Sieber 
    Dear sceptics Under
     
    http://link.springer.de/link/service/journals/10096/contents/01/00647/paper/s10096-001-0647-3.pdf
     
    you can find the following publication of H. M. Freidank, A. Lux, P. Dern, U. Meyer-Konig,
    T. Els   Chlamydia pneumoniae DNA in
    Peripheral Venous Blood Samples from Patients with Carotid Artery Stenosis    Eur J Clin Microbiol Infect Dis (2002)
    21: 60-62 Regards Robert 
      
    Paul
    Rosch 
    The late Meyer Texon
    showed that atherosclerotic deposits tended to occur on the inner surface of arteries
    where blood flow was the fastest (bifurcation of the aorta very sharp curves in
    arteries)
    since negative pressure was greatest based on the physics of closed hydraulic systems and
    Bernoullis theorem. However, this was one of only many factors that influenced the
    severity of such lesions. 
      
    Morley
    Sutter 
    Dear Malcolm,   Thank you for your incisive and erudite comments. Your points are well taken.  I would
    never underestimate microbes and personally think that they have driven much of human
    history.  Is there any explanation for the reduction in the prevalence of
    atherosclerosis in North America?  It seems negatively correlated with the
    number of MacDonald Hamburger outlets.  Particularly if atherosclerosis is triggered
    by more than one microbe, the cycle length of the prevalence of atherosclerosis would
    be quite unpredictable.    The differing
    prevalence of atherosclerosis in South Asians and Blacks living in the USA could be due to
    genetic susceptibility to the effects of one or more microbes.  We know that past
    history (i.e., selection) as well as the genome, probably alter resistance to
    syphillis,
    TB and small pox.  Why not to other microbes?
        In regard to Finland, I have no explanation and do not know the
    genetic make-up or secular characteristics of the religious groups.  Do you have an
    explanation?     In respect of
    Japan, I have read that the incidence of atherosclerosis has decreased despite
    industrialisation (stress?) and introduction of a Western diet (and
    MacDonalds).
      Can you propose an explanation?
         It might be possible to observe fatty streaks using
    MRI, but I dont know.  The point is that all sorts of observational techniques
    could and should be applied to further defining the precise pathology of
    atherosclerosis.      I would adhere to the
    philosophical position enunciated in my Perspectives article.  We need intervnetional
    studies based on the best epidemiological evidence.  The fat-in-the-diet intervention
    has failed.  Lets try something else: microbes deserve consideration for
    interventional studies.     Someone
    has said that most scientific discussions are like two individuals playing golf whereas it
    is tennis that should be played.  Thank you for playing tennis.  I hope that I
    have returned the ball.    Regards,
    Morley 
      
    Malcolm Kendrick
    Morley,   My
    first point would be, can you make your point size a bit bigger, I need a magnifying
    glass.     I do have an
    alternative explanation. Uffe is tearing it apart as we communicate, but it took me one
    hundred and seventy eight pages to explain - and a few people now think that I may be
    close to the true causes of CHD.     My
    serve, try this for size:     The
    stress of social dislocation is a primary cause of CHD (there are other things as
    well,
    but you dont want a one hundred a seventy eight page e-mail, I suspect).     Thus, Japanese who move from
    Japan to the USA (and dont change their diet) suffer a rate of CHD of about four
    times that of native Japanese. Those Japanese who maintain a traditional Japanese
    lifestyle in the USA retain native Japanese rates of CHD
        Asian Indians - who emigrate, suffer very high rates of CHD
    wherever they go, and whatever they eat. And  Indians living in cities in India
    suffer much higher rates of CHD than rural Indians (with no change in diet)      The USA had an explosion
    of immigrants in the early part of the twentieth century, this was followed by an
    explosion in the rate of CHD in the middle part of the twentieth century. And is now
    followed by a fall, as the first and second generation immigrants are being replaced by
    third and fourth generation immigrants - who are better integrated into American society,
    and have better develop social structures in place.
         The breakdown of communism in Eastern Europe has been
    followed by huge change, destruction of old ways of life etc. and the rate of CHD has
    exploded.     Finns with
    Eastern Orthodox religion are immigrants Lutharians are well-established
    Finns. Lutharians suffer one fifth the rate of CHD.
            The social dislocation in Japan
    following the second world war is now gone, and Japanes society is more
    settled.       In
    short, when you
    tear apart the social support network, you create levels of chronic stress that lead to
    HPA-axis abnormalities, syndrome X, insulin resistance, abdominal obesity and a very high
    rate of CHD.     Thirty
    fifteen, your shot.    Regards    Malcolm 
     
    
    Jerome
    Sullivan 
    Dear Malcolm, I am not an
    expert in Brazilian cardiovascular epidemiology, but it does appear that women overall may
    have more CHD than men in Brazil. However, is this CHD at all ages, or is there a male
    disadvantage among young subjects?  
    Clearly the vast preponderance of CHD occurs in older men and women. But, the pattern that
    inspired the iron hypothesis concerns the sex difference while the women are
    menstruating.
    Do you have definitive data on this question for Brazilian populations? I note one paper
    reporting a series of MIs in Brazilian patients under 40 in which 90% of the subjects were
    male (1), suggesting a markedly lower rate in younger women. A higher rate for older women
    is not necessarily inconsistent with the iron hypothesis (2;3). With replenished iron
    stores, the older womens risk may be more accurately determined by other risk
    factors. 
    For international comparisons, the role of iron in heart disease may be significantly
    modified by cultural practices, dietary practices, distribution of all relevant genetic
    polymorphisms and/or epidemiology of infectious diseases. These may affect the patterns of
    iron acquisition as a function of age in men and in women, and may also modify the impact
    of a given iron storage level on disease expression.  
    The hypothesis that iron depletion protects against ischemic heart disease does not imply
    that the protection cannot be overwhelmed by sufficiently high levels of some other risk
    factor or combination of risk factors. This could be the basis for explaining anomalies in
    various population groups worldwide. However, my working hypothesis is that iron depletion
    greatly diminishes the impact of other risk factors. The sex difference in disease
    expression in familial hypercholesterolemia may be an extreme example of protection by
    iron depletion against an otherwise extreme disease promoting stimulus (quote from
    reference 4): The remarkably low incidence of clinically apparent heart disease in
    young women with familial hypercholesterolemia is further evidence that uncouples disease
    rates from cholesterol and lipoprotein concentrations [5,6,7]. Young women with familial
    hypercholesterolemia have plasma cholesterol concentrations equal to, or perhaps greater
    than [7], those in young men with the disorder. From childhood, affected men and women
    usually have plasma cholesterol levels of greater than 600 mg/dL, i.e., roughly three
    times the upper limit of normal as defined by the National Cholesterol Education Program.
    However, the young women have no more clinically evident heart disease than their
    unaffected female relatives, while the young men have a large excess of cardiovascular
    events. This phenomenon is a key anomaly for the cholesterol 
    hypothesis. Cholesterol
    levels in these young women are at levels thought to be toxic. Nonetheless, the women are
    protected from heart disease. Women with the disease are clearly susceptible to the
    development of heart disease since their event rate increases rapidly after about age 45.
    The anomaly may be explainable within the context of the iron theory as
    follows: The
    young women are protected from the development of heart disease as long as they continue
    to lose excess iron through regular menstrual blood loss. The regular loss of excess iron
    in the young women with the disease boosts endogenous antioxidant defenses by suppressing
    damaging iron-catalyzed reactions. Iron depletion may have an antioxidant effect as strong
    as that of BHT in the cholesterol-fed rabbits discussed above [8]. 
    Animal experiments suggest that iron depletion has a potent antioxidant effect in
    vivo [9,10,11,12,13]. There is also direct experimental evidence in humans suggesting that
    decreasing the level of stored iron increases the plasma concentration of HDL and the
    resistance of LDL to oxidation [14]. These effects of iron depletion in humans strongly
    support iron loss as a mechanism for the protection of young women with familial
    hypercholesterolemia. Even monumental levels of cholesterol may not be inherently
    hazardous so long as stored iron is absent. 
    Sincerely,
    Jerome 
    Reference List 
            1.      Tanajura
    LF, Piegas LS, Timerman A et al. [Acute myocardial infarction in patients under 40 years
    of age]. Arq Bras Cardiol. 1990;55:237-240. 
            2.      Sullivan
    JL. Iron and the sex difference in heart disease risk. Lancet. 1981;1:1293-1294. 
            3.      Sullivan
    JL. The sex difference in ischemic
    heart disease. Perspect
    Biol Med. 1983;26:657-671. 
            4.      Sullivan JL. Iron versus
    cholesterolperspectives on the iron and heart disease debate. J Clin Epidemiol. 1996;49:1345-1352. 
            5.      Sullivan
    JL. The iron paradigm of ischemic heart disease. Am Heart J. 1989;117:1177-1188. 
            6.      Stone
    NJ, Levy RI, Fredrickson DS et al. Coronary
    artery disease in 116 kindred with familial type II hyperlipoproteinemia. Circulation.
    1974;49:476-488. 
            7.      Hill
    JS, Hayden MR, Frohlich J et al. Genetic and environmental factors affecting the incidence
    of coronary artery disease in heterozygous familial hypercholesterolemia. Arterioscler
    Thromb. 1991;11:290-297. 
            8.      Bjorkhem
    I, Henriksson-Freyschuss A, Breuer O et al. The antioxidant butylated hydroxytoluene
    protects against atherosclerosis. Arterioscler Thromb. 1991;11:15-22. 
            9.      Sullivan
    JL, Till GO, Ward PA. Iron depletion decreases lung injury after systemic complement
    activation. Fed.Proc. 45, 452. 1986.  
            10.     Sullivan
    JL, Till GO, Ward PA et al. Nutritional iron restriction diminishes acute
    complement-dependent lung injury. Nutrition Research. 1989;9:625-634. 
            11.     Andrews
    FJ, Morris CJ, Lewis EJ et al. Effect of nutritional iron deficiency on acute and chronic
    inflammation. Ann
    Rheum Dis. 1987;46:859-865. 
            12.     Chandler
    DB, Barton JC, Briggs DD, III et al. Effect
    of iron deficiency on bleomycin-induced lung fibrosis in the hamster. Am Rev Respir Dis.
    1988;137:85-89. 
            13.     Patt A,
    Horesh IR, Berger EM et al. Iron depletion or chelation reduces
    ischemia/reperfusion-induced edema in gerbil brains. J Pediatr Surg. 1990;25:224-227. 
            14.     Salonen
    JT, Korpela H, Nyyssonen K et al. Lowering of body iron stores by blood letting and
    oxidation resistance of serum lipoproteins: a randomized cross-over trial in male smokers.
    J Intern Med.
    1995;237:161-168.
      
    Morley Sutter 
    Dear Malcolm, I
    hope the font is a better size now.  
       There are many attractive features to your Rent in the
    Social Fabric hypothesis of the etiology of atherosclerosis.  It is
    however,
    difficult to disprove or to test.  Has any one shown that intervention to repair the
    social fabric has reduced the prevalence or otherwise altered the course of atherosclerosi
    and more importantly shown this in a blinded randomised situation with appropriate
    comparison groups (controls)?      Exercise
    does not improve survival post myocardial infarction (Dorn et al. Circulation 1999 100:
    1764-1769) so perhaps you would agree that the usefulness of exercise is questionable
    in spite of the numerous papers correlating exercise with lessened incidence of
    atherosclerosis in epidemiologiacl terms.   This emphasises the need for
    interventional studies before drawing conclusions. 
    It seems that the epidemiology of
    psychological stress as a trigger for atheroscleosis is also questionable (Moore et al.,
    International Journal of Epidemiology 1999 28: 652-658).  What rent  in
    the social fabric do you then consider necessary to trigger atherosclerosis?    Another interesting and developing
    microbe story is that of Human Papilloma Virus  (HPV) and cervical
    cancer.  It is indeed complex: not all who are infected with HPV get
    cervical cancer (some get condylomata accuminata or other squamous
    dysplasias) and only a
    few of the some 16 strains of HPV are associated with cervical cancer.  I
    mention this only to point out the the microbe-host interaction is complex
    indeed.  But it should be studied.   Did my
    serve hit the baseline or do we need the ruling of an umpire?    Regards,    Morley  
      
    22.
    Mars 
    Barry Groves
    Hello all
       I too have difficulty with this hypothesis. When we look at CHD rates
    a century ago, the disease was almost unknown. It didnt take off until
    the 1920s. If iron were a causal factor, why didnt the relatively larger amount
    of red meat (which contains a greater amount of haem iron) eaten then and
    before, have an
    apparent effect? Im sure that plotting the intakes of iron over the past century
    will find very little correlation with the rise and decline in the disease in
    any country.  Barry 
      
    Malcolm Kendrick
    Dear all,    It would be interesting to know what
    we all actually agree on. Rather than what we all disagree on. I will make a start.  
    None of us believe
    that CHD is caused by eating too much saturated fat 
    None of of believe
    that CHD is casued by a high cholesterol/LDL level (within reason) 
    We all agree that CHD
    was rare, anywhere in the world, before the middle of the twentieth century 
    We all agree that the
    rate of CHD in the USA (Caucasians) went up from about 1920 to about 1960, and since then
    has dropped. 
    We all agree that
    smoking is an important factor in causing, or accelerating, the development of CHD 
    We all agree that
    insulin resistance/syndrome X/type II diabetes is an important causal factor in CHD (That
    probably needs a bit of clafication)    Any
    other offers    Malcolm 
      
    Jørgen Vesti Nielsen 
    Malcolm and sceptics  Smoking is bad for you, dont get me
    wrong,
    but can it really be shown to be an important factor in the development of
    CHD?  
    The MONICA studys description of the correlations between risk factors and 
    ischemic heart disease is the best picture well ever get of the real state of 
    the world. Looking at 37 centres in 26 countries at the same time should give 
    the same effect as stepping a couple of steps backwards in front of 
    floor-to-ceiling painting in a museum in order to see the whole canvas instead 
    of the myopic examination of a five times five cm square in the lower right 
    corner.    There is in the MONICA
    study no correlation whatsoever between degree of 
    smoking and risk of ischemic hear disease in women. Correlation coefficient = - 0,01.
    Explanatory power = zero percent. No correlation means no causation. (1)  Smoking per se does not contribute to the
    incidence of ischemic heart disease in women. If it is related in men it has to be another
    factor - the missing link - that at the same time increases the risk in these men and
    makes them smoke. Personality types? Hormones? The Japanese and the Chinese are heavy
    smokers, they have extremely low rates of ischemic heart disease. How was it nowthe
    MRFIT study. Didnt 35 percent of the men quit smoking? With no reduction in risk to
    show for it. (Not because of negative effects of the blood pressure treatment such as it
    was postulated by the study directors; an analysis of the studys own figures showed
    no relationship(2)) And besides, smoking pattern in USA did not fit the pattern of CHD
      as seen in a impressive analysis by Reuel Stallone in 1980(3)  
    Reference. 
    1  Kuulasmaa K, Tubstall-Pedoe H, Dobson A, et al. Estimation of contribution
       of changes in classic risk factors to trends in coronary-event rates across
    the WHO MONICA Project       populations. Lancet
    2000;355:675-87. 
    2   Reuel Stallones, Mortality and the Multiple-risk Factor Intervention
       Trial,  American Journal of
      Epidemiology, 1983, vol. 117, pp. 647-9. 
    3     Stallone RA, the Rise and Fall of Heart Disease Scientific
    American 1980; 243(5):43-49  
    Jorgen 
      
    Jerome
    Sullivan 
    Dear Barry,  My understanding the last time I looked at this
    specific question was that meat consumption did not achieve its current high level in the
    developed countries until some time after 1900. Before that meat was not as freely
    available to most of the population.  Iron is
    of course derived from the environment, however the level of storage iron in the body is
    determined by a number of factors other than the amount of dietary iron. One major factor
    internationally and historically is the state of public sanitation. Iron-wasting GI and GU
    parasites (hook worm, schistosomiasis, etc) remain very common among impoverished people
    today. (See quote below.) 
    Sincerely,  Jerome  
    From: Sullivan JL. Iron versus cholesterolperspectives on the iron and heart disease
    debate. J Clin Epidemiol. 1996;49:1345-1352. [Emphasis added]  
    . . . low iron stores might explain some of the very low heart disease rates among
    poor people in third world countries. Iron deficiency is widespread among impoverished
    populations with high fiber diets that retard iron absorption and large gastrointestinal
    parasite loads causing chronic blood loss. It is among these groups that the worlds
    lowest rates of myocardial infarction are seen today. Stored iron as a risk factor might
    also explain the emergence of an epidemic of heart disease in affluent countries over the
    last century. Industrialized countries were at one time similar to poor countries today
    with respect to several factors that influence iron retention. Over the last
    century, good
    public sanitation, iron-fortified foods, commercial promotion of non-prescription iron
    supplements, and high levels of meat consumption coupled with low fiber diets have become
    common in industrialized countries. The epidemic in cardiovascular disease in developed
    countries has arisen during the transition from difficult to easy acquisition of stored
    iron. 
     
    Leslie Klevay 
    Our latest paper
    Low dietary magnesium increases supravertricular ectopy seems to have appeared
    in the Am. J. Clin.Nutr. (75:550,2002).  The RDA for Mg seems OK.
          I also showed how Iron overload can induce mild
    copper deficiency  (J Trace Elements Med. Biol. 14:237,2001).  Manifestations
    included low cardiac copper and increased plasma cholesterol. The latest chapter in the
    copper deficiency theory of IHD now is available in PDF.  Please open the
    attachment. Finally, I agree, more or less, with Malcoms  22March.  Sincerely, Leslie  
      
    Malcolm Kendrick 
    Dear
    Jerome, Yes, well, what about the Massai who, according to George Mann, stuff themselves
    with meat and blood (thus iron) and have almost no detectable CHD at all (in their
    traditional setting). Equally, what of Finland, where the rate of CHD has fallen by ~70%
    in the last twenty years. Has their consumption of iron decreased during this time period?
    Malcolm   
    P.S. Why do women with type II diabetes lose their protection against CHD - if it is all
    to do with iron? 
      
    Morley Sutter
    Dear Malcolm, If the
    chalk flew up, I won that point.  I agree that
    everything cannot be measured.  The trouble is that in that
    circumstance, social context, conditioning and belief or faith are what govern our actions and lead to
    acceptance or rejection of best explanations (cf. taste in music and religion).
      Would you agree that prospective interventional studies with appropriately
    randomised comparison groups and double blind assessment of outcome are the
    gold standard for seeking best explanations?  (If you dont, it
    maight be that you are playing Real Tennis while I am playing Lawn Tennis).  Any
    simply epidemiological or observational study without intervention and appropriate
    comparison groups, cannot determine etiology or possible causality in my world.  
    While there are a lot of epidemiological observations showing that people who
    exercise live longer than those who do not, self selection is a problem so all these
    studies are suspect.   
    In respect of your
    query whether all atherosclerotic lesions contain microbes, I dont
    know.  There
    are several technical problems:  one is the need to accurately define the pathology
    of a particular lesion.  I think that I earlier mentioned caseation as not being
    unique to TB, nor is all haemoptysis.  The latter can be caused by
    malignancy, S. pneumoniae or M. tuberculosis. The pathology of any
    potential disease must be painstakingly defined before dismissing a microbe as a causal
    factor.  Failure to find a microbe might mean that a different disease was present.
      Identification of microbes also is difficult and antibodies are inadequate for this
    purpose.  The Mantoux or Tuberculin test for TB can demonstrate
    that exposure has occurred, but in overwhelming TB, the Mantoux test can be negative.
    I therefore am uncertain as to the cause(s) of what is termed
    atherosclerosis.  I am
    also a pragmatist and former physician who suffers from the idea that most diseases should
    be treatable or preventable.  It is too difficult to prevent social
    disruption ecxcept by increasing income.  I believe that income is
    negatively correlated with death due to atherosclerosis, so increasing income might
    help,
    but not greatly. Tennis anyone? (Preferably Lawn, I dont have the necessary
    court for Real Tennis). Regards, Morley 
      
    23.
    Mars 
    Jerome
    Sullivan 
    Dear Malcolm, The
    Masai - What are the actual iron status measurements on Masai in their traditional
    setting? I dont have reported numbers and there may be none available, however it is
    by no means clear that they were iron overloaded, and indeed may have been iron
    deficient.
    In that part of the world, hookworm and schistosomiasis are endemic and, in rural areas,
    are associated with iron deficiency anemia in a significant percentage of adults (1-4). 
    Again, iron storage levels are not a simple function of the amount and quality of dietary
    iron. Even large intakes of iron can be associated with iron deficiency
    anemia, if there
    is chronic blood loss, eg from GI or GU parasites. 
    Another factor in both the uptake of iron from diet and the impact of iron on disease
    expression is vitamin C status. Vitamin C can enhance iron absorption (5). Low vitamin C
    levels also appear to decrease the impact of high iron levels (6). Again, the knowledge
    base on this question is spotty, but it is likely that traditional Masai had low ascorbate
    levels (7). 
    A comprehensive answer to your question on iron and heart disease in traditional Masai
    would also need to consider life expectancy among these people. Did traditional Masai live
    long enough to experience the chronic diseases of the industrialized world? 
    The Finns - The iron hypothesis does not offer an obvious explanation for decreases in
    coronary disease rates over the past couple of decades. This failure does not mean that
    the core hypothesis, that iron depletion protects against ischemic heart
    disease, is
    invalid. 
    My working hypothesis is that iron depletion decreases the effect of other risk factors.
    An extreme example, noted in an earlier message, may be the remarkably low rate in women
    heterozygous for familial hypercholesterolemia so long as they continue to menstruate (8).
    Their cholesterol levels are equal to men with the disorder or possibly slightly higher
    from birth, however disease onset is markedly delayed in comparison to men. 
    In iron replete subjects such as Finnish men and postmenopausal women, other risk factors
    would have a greater impact on disease rates and may be responsible for trends in disease
    rates over time. 
    Diabetic women - If some other factor is capable of eliminating a protective effect of
    iron depletion, this does not invalidate the core hypothesis. Judging from the example of
    women with familial hypercholesterolemia, iron depletion may not be overwhelmed by even
    heroic levels of cholesterol. Perhaps diabetes can overcome a protective
    effect. A
    comprehensive answer to the role of iron in diabetic women would require actual
    measurements of iron status and coronary disease rates as a function of age in diabetic
    women. 
    The interactions of iron and diabetes in heart disease are not yet adequately
    defined.
    Skeptics might be interested in an important recent paper showing protective effects of
    iron chelation in the hearts of diabetic patients (9). A general account of
    iron, diabetes
    and heart disease is beyond the scope of this reply (some interesting recent papers
    include the following: 10-13). 
    Sincerely, Jerome 
            1.      Hall
    A, Latham MC, Crompton DW et al. Intestinal parasitic infections of men in four regions of
    rural Kenya. Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg.
    1982;76:728-733. 
            2.      Greenham
    R. Anaemia and Schistosoma haematobium infection in the North-Eastern Province of Kenya. Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg. 1978;72:72-75. 
            3.      Latham
    MC, Stephenson LS, Hall A et al. A comparative study of the nutritional status, parasitic
    infections and health of male roadworkers in four areas of Kenya. Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg. 1982;76:734-740. 
            4.      Latham
    MC, Stephenson LS, Hall A et al. Parasitic infections, anaemia and nutritional status: a
    study of their interrelationships and the effect of prophylaxis and treatment on workers
    in Kwale District, Kenya. Trans R Soc Trop Med
    Hyg. 1983;77:41-48. 
            5.      Olivares M, Pizarro F,
    Pineda O et al. Milk inhibits and ascorbic acid favors ferrous
    bis-glycine chelate bioavailability in humans. J Nutr. 1997;127:1407-1411. 
            6.      Nienhuis
    AW. Vitamin C and iron. N Engl J Med.
    1981;304:170-171. 
            7.      Davies
    JD, Newson J. Low ascorbate status in the Masai of Kenya. Am J Clin Nutr. 1974;27:310-314. 
            8.      Sullivan
    JL. Iron versus cholesterolperspectives on the iron and heart disease
    debate. J Clin Epidemiol. 1996;49:1345-1352. 
            9.      Nitenberg
    A, Ledoux S, Valensi P et al. Coronary microvascular adaptation to myocardial metabolic
    demand can be restored by inhibition of iron-catalyzed formation of oxygen free radicals
    in type 2 diabetic patients. Diabetes. 2002;51:813-818. 
            10.     Hua NW,
    Stoohs RA, Facchini FS. Low iron status and enhanced insulin sensitivity in lacto-ovo
    vegetarians. Br J Nutr.
    2001;86:515-519. 
            11.     Facchini
    FS. Effect of phlebotomy on plasma glucose and insulin concentrations [letter]. Diabetes
    Care. 1998;21:2190. 
            12.     Sasaki K,
    Hashida K, Michigami Y et al. Restored vulnerability of cultured endothelial cells to high
    glucose by iron replenishment. Biochem Biophys Res Commun. 2001;289:664-669. 
            13.     Tuomainen
    TP, Nyyssonen K, Salonen R et al. Body iron stores are
    associated with serum insulin and blood glucose concentrations. Population study in 1,013
    eastern Finnish men. Diabetes Care. 1997;20:426-428. 
      
    Barry Groves
    Dear all
        While I agree with most of Malcolms We all
    agree, Im not so sure about smoking. I am aware that CO from smoking
    increases carboxyhaemoglobin in blood and reduces its ability to transport oxygen, but I
    have yet to find anything other than assumption about a causal link to CHD (or, for that
    matter, lung cancer).  The hypothesis that smoking could be a risk
    factor for CHD originated in 1978 from: The Pooling Project Research Group:
    relationship of blood pressure, serum cholesterol, smoking habit, relative weight and ECG
    abnormalities to incidence of major coronary event. Final report of the Pooling Project. J
    Chron Dis 1978; 31: 201-305.   But
    again, we had been smoking for centuries before this without overt harm.
    Also, in plotting
    trends in various risk factors thoughout the USA, Stallones found to
    correlation between trends in smoking habit and incidence of CHD.  Stallones
    R A. The Rise and Fall of Ischemic Heart Disease. Scientific American. 1980: 243
    (5); 43.   Here are a couple of quotes
    you might like: 
    Tobacco,
    divine, rare, superexcellent tobacco, which goes far beyond all their
    panaceas, potable gold, and philosophers stones, a sovereign remedy to all
    diseases. Robert Burton (1577-1640)   It is now proved beyond doubt that
    smoking is one of the leading causes of statistics. Fletcher Knebel, Readers
    Digest, Dec 1961.Barry 
      
    Dear Jerome  Certainly there were great strides made in
    improving sanitation in Britain in the 19th century and, probably throughout
    the rest of the industrialised world. But iron and steel industry have been spewing wastes
    into the environment ever since the industrial revolutionwith no sign of
    CHD. 
    Dietary changes were
    much more gradual and dissimilar in different countries. Yet the dramatic rise suddenly
    happened everywhere at roughly the same timeduring the 1920s. It was 1920 in the
    USA, 1928 in Britain. At that time we in Britain ate black pudding,
    a type of sausage made of blood. And in parts of the nation we still do.
    Its a favourite for breakfast. 
    CHD is a disease of
    affluent nations, but it is more prevalent in poorer elements in those nations. These are
    not people who live on red meat, as the poor generally cannot afford it. Iron
    deficiency anaemia among the poor has a higher incidence than among the rich. Also
    the poor may more prone to parasites as sanitation in poorer areas is not so good. If the
    hypothesis that iron sufficiency is a risk factor for CHD is right, surely we would expect
    less CHD among the poor, but that is not the case. Or are other factors in
    poorer society masking a possible protective effect of iron deficiency? 
    Then
    again, in view of
    Leslie Klevays Advances in Cardiovascular-Copper Research, is the
    problem iron sufficiency or could it be copper deficiency. The way we farm today, I
    suspect that depleted copper in soils where food is produced is a more
    likely candidate for suspicion. Sincerely Barry 
      
    24. Mars 
    Fred and Alice
    Ottoboni 
    Dear
    Skeptics: There
    were questions several days ago about the mechanism of heart disease causation by smoking.
      What follows is based on Kilmer McCullys book, The Heart Revolution,
    HarperCollins Publishers, 1999.    Carbon
    monoxide in inhaled smoke enters the bloodstream via the lungs.  It combines with
    pyridoxamine, a form of vitamin B6, and inactivates it.  The resulting deficiency of
    B6 allows the blood homocysteine level to rise.  High homocysteine levels damage
    the cells and tissues of the arteries.  This leads to arteriosclerosis or hardening
    of the arteries (McCully, pages 9, 133-34).
       Cholesterol and fat are then deposited in these damaged arteries and
    this leads to atherosclerosis.  Arteriosclerois must occur before atherosclerosis can
    occur (McCully, page 14). 
     The fact that high levels of
    homocysteine in the blood are the underlying cause of heart disease explains the
    French Paradox.  Homocysteine levels are higher in northern Europe than
    in southern Europe, thus heart disease rates are higher in northern Europe even though the
    French eat more fat and more cholesterol than in the north (McCully, page 15).    The cholesterol theory does not explain the
    French Paradox because the cholesterol theory is not fact.
        Vitamin C also plays a role.  Homcysteine is removed from
    the body by biochemical conversion into a inorganic sulfate.  This conversion
    largely depends upon vitamin C.  Without enough vitamin C in the diet, homocysteine
    builds up in the blood.  When this happens, blood vessels disintegrate, blood
    platelets dont work right, and the small blood vessels in the gums and skin start to
    hemorrhage (McCully, pages 161-62).    
    It has been known for many years in the field
    of occupational hygiene that chronic exposure to carbon monoxide caused heart
    disease.  This problem was controlled by reducing carbon monoxide exposure levels.
      Thus human exposure studies prove the relationship between heart disease and carbon
    monoxide. (We do not have a reference available here, but know this from many years of
    work in the field)     McCully
    has not only provided the biochemical explanation for carbon monoxide/heart disease, but
    also, in our opinion, the best answer available today for one of the true
    underlying causes of heart disease, namely homocysteine buildup caused by
    deficiencies of vitamins B6, B12, and folic acid (and vitamin C).  These vitamins are
    required for the biochemical degradation of homocysteine.   
    Fred and Alice
    Ottoboni 
      
    Uffe Ravnskov  
    Skeptics!  May I suggest participants in
    this interesting discussion to distinguish between atherosclerosis and CHD, two different
    conditions with different causes. Further, atherosclerosis by itself is most certainly
    many different things. Let me explain.    
    It seems questionable to use the term disease for the loss of elasticity and
    the increasing stiffness of the arterial walls, that occur with age. This must be a normal
    and most useful process, because if our arteries at age thirty were just as soft and
    elastic as in the newborn the heart would not be able to perform properly. The much larger
    amount of circulating blood in the adult and the larger distance to the periphery demands
    relatively stiff arteries for the blood  to be
    distributed at the necessary speed and efficiency. William Stehbens and  Meyer Texon have presented much evidence that it
    is the hemodynamic forces that are causing this stiffness in some way or
    another.
     Saul et al has argued convincingly that it is the transmural or net
    pressure, e.g.
    the difference between the pressure inside and outside the artery, that is crucial for the
    development of atherosclerosis (Med Hypotheses 1991;36:228-237; and 1999;52:349-. Somebody
    with access to Med Hypotheses, please send the files).  A few of the examples they
    have used to illustrate their point are that atherosclerosis is prevalent in coronary
    arteries because they are surrounded by the negative pressure of the thoracic
    cavity, and
    that atherosclerosis is absent in the intramural coronary arteries and in arteries located
    in bony channels because their surroundings prevent them from being dilated during systole
     they need not be stiff. The localized changes, seen around branchings, may be
    fortifications at places where the mechanical stress is particular strong, as ssuggested
    by Stehbens and Texon.   Thus, assume
    that  atherosclerosis may be a normal and
    harmless  phenomenon, as long as it is not
    too advanced. If so, the question is not what causes atherosclerosis, but what makes
    atherosclerotic plaques dangerous? What makes them grow into the lumen? What makes them
    soften? What makes them unstable? Could it be recurrent microbial invasions?
    Antigen-antibody formation? Toxic chemicals? Oxidants? Imbalance of normal constituents
    such as homocystein? And which are the conditions, environmental or
    hereditary, that
    smooth such worsening?  Here is room for many
    risk factors and none of them need to be obligatory.
            
    In the presence of advanced atherosclerosis the risk of
    myocardial damage (CHD) is obviously increased and risk factors for atherosclerosis
    therefore may be risk factors for CHD also. But CHD may occur without atherosclerosis.
    About 20 % of those who die from an acute myocardial infarction have no coronary
    atherosclerosis at all which means that something else may obstruct the coronary vessels
    to cause CHD. This something else may be an exaggerated contraction of the
    coronary arteries or arterioles. For instance, cocaine effectively makes coronary arteries
    contract and CHD is a common cause of premature death in drug addicts. There are most
    probably other drugs and other exogenous factors with a similar effect, but the most
    common cause may be adrenal hyperactivity. Again, these mechanisms opens for further risk
    factors, but risk factors for CHD, not necessarily for atherosclerosis. From the above
    follows that it is highly unlikely that we ever will find a single cause of
    CHD.          
    There
    is more
    to disagree about. I am most sceptical to the so-called CHD epidemic. One of the greatest
    mistakes in cardiovascular epidemiology has been to rely on vital statistics. In my book I
    have given several examples of the many types of bias involved in the activity of writing
    death certificates. When it comes to CHD mortality, remember that this disease was unknown
    by most doctors in the start of the 19. century. Slowly, knowledge improved, but it was
    the introduction of  ECG in clinical practice
    during the thirties and forties  that gave
    doctors the possibility to use that diagnosis during life with reasonable
    accuracy.
    Further progress in diagnostic skill was achieved when analysis of the transaminases
    became routine in the fifties. These diagnostic improvements occurred during the rise of
    the so-called CHD epidemic. Recall also that a post mortem is performed in a small
    minority of the deaths only, in particular outside university hospitals and to tell
    anything about the cause of death without a post-mortem, is highly inaccurate  see
    my book .The epidemic of CHD is therefore most likely due to a steadily
    increasing habit of using that diagnosis on the piece of paper called death
    certificate. At least, it is impossible to exclude that
    possibility. Several
    authors have pointed to this phenomenon (Read for instance Stehbens WE. Lancet 1987;I:606;
    Stehbens WE. Med. Hypothesis 1995;45:449-54). Secular changes of CHD mortality are simply
    useless as argument for or against any hypothesis about the causation of CHD, let alone
    the causation of atherosclerosis.       
      
    I do not agree either that the CHD rate has decreased during the last 20 or 30
    years. CHD mortality has declined, yes, but the prevalence has increased, most probably
    due to better treatment  more people survive an acute coronary (see for instance the
    figures from Framingham presented by Sytkowski et al. N Engl J Med 1990;322:1635-41).          
    I also oppose the common confusion of risk factors with cause. Smoking is not
    necessarily causing CHD or atherosclerosis just because the risk ratio of smokers is
    larger than one. Smokers are different from non-smokers in many ways  just ask the
    question: why do you smoke?  and a number of additional, potential causes
    appear.
                  
    I agree that it
    is difficult to prove a protective effect of  physical
    activity because physical activity demands good health. However, I have analysed a large
    number of observational and experimental studies of sequential changes of cholesterol and
    sequential changes of coronary atherosclerosis. In at least 22 studies dose-response was
    analysed between these two factors and the only study that reported dose-response
    used regular, controlled and graded physical activity as intervention. In that study degree
    of exercise was inversely correlated with degree of atherosclerosis growth (Hambrecht
    et al. J Am Coll Cardiol 1993;22:468-77.). It is also the only trial that has reported
    regress of atherosclerosis in a substantial number of patients.   In conclusion, to play tennis demands
    agreement about the rules.  Uffe 
      
    25. Mars 
    Malcolm  Kendricks 
    Uffe,  What fun. (and Morley, I am playing lawn tennis -
    I hope).  I did think it would be interesting
    to see what everyone agreed on. So far, I think, I am left with one fact. CHD has nothing
    to do with saturated fat consumption. Various poeple disagreed with smoking as a
    cause, a
    few do not agree that death rates from CHD did go up, in the twentieth
    century. Others
    think that it hasnt gone down in the USA over the last thirty years. Keep
    going, and
    we will end up in the same place as Rene Descartes (I think, therefore I am). Or, my
    favoured alteration, Im pink, therefore Im spam.  I shall try again.
      Does everyone agree with the following fact?
        The rate of CHD varies widely between different populations.   Malcolm 
    Lesley, Thanks. I think that I now have three facts that everyone is willing to agree with:  
    1:    The rate of CHD has nothing to do with the consumption of saturated
    fat 
    2:    The rate of CHD varies considerably from population to population 
    3:    The thing that kills you with CHD is a lack of blood supply to the
    heart muscle  
    I think that one of the biggest problems that I can see looming in an attempt to build
    more of a consensus is in the definition of atherosclerosis. Like Uffe, I find it very
    difficult to get a handle on what people mean by this term. On the basis that the final
    pathological  mechanism in CHD is rupture of
    an atherosclerotic plaque, leading to clot formation within the coronary
    artery, then
    infarction of the heart muscle, it is presumably unstable plaques that are the problem,
    not generalised atherosclerosis. Therefore, could I throw open a several part question -
    to which I do not have an answer. Is generalised atherosclerosis a normal part of the
    ageing process? If so, what exactly is the disease, in CHD, that kills people
    prematurely.
    Is it the development of unstable plaques - or is it something else. Or are there several
    parallel process going on within the artery any, or all of which, can lead to
    occlusion? Personally, I do not like the idea that there are several diseases processes all going on
    at the same time. Medical history would also suggest that single/coherent disease
    processes usually emerge from initial confusion, once people more clearly understand what
    is going on. But within our group we have those in favour of the glycaemic index, those
    who favour iron overload, those who favour stress, those who favour copper deficiency etc.
    I would suggest that they cannot all cause occlusive plaque development. So, perhaps we
    could agree on a discussion which starts with the disease process that causes plaque   development. Build from the bottom-up so to
    speak. I only suggest this because, at present, this discussion group  whilst  fascinating - is beginning to resemble the Tower
    of Babel.   Malcolm 
    Morley
    Sutter 
    Dear All: I
    certainly agree that the diagnosis, pathological criteria and terminology of
    atheroscelrosis is loose and often inadequate.  Does Monckebergs medial
    sclerosis, which was supposedly mainly due to smoking, still exist?  Coronary
    artery disease of course has several causes, including syphillis.  Therefore it is
    imperative to be as accurate and precise in our terminology as emphasised by Uffe. 
    To follow up on smoking, if one stops smoking your chances of getting lung cancer are
    reduced almost to non-smoking levels after 5 years. According to JS Yudkin
    (BMJ 1993,
    306:1313-8) if one stops smoking, after 10 years deaths due to CHD would be
    reduced by 2.7 per 1000 persons from the baseline (smoking) value of 14.4 per1000.  
    This is not a very large effect. Regards to all. Morley 
    Alena Langsjoen 
    
    Dear Malcolm, Uffe, et al., Malcolms latest email made me think of a  Lewis
    Thomas quote that I found on a book cover of Edward R. Gruberg & Stephen A.
    Raymonds book (copyright 1981 and out of print now), titled:  Beyond Cholesterol.  Vitamin B6,
    Arteriosclerosis, and Your Heart.  Since
    last Summer I have had a used book search for this book on Amazon.com to be shipped
    directly to Uffe as a present from us...I thought it would be a good addition to
    Uffes library but so far a copy was not found by Amazon.   As Uffe, these
    authors did an excellent critical review of the history of the cholesterol
    hypothesis.  Anyway, here is the statement from the jacket of the books cover
    that Malcolms note made me think of today:  ....Even
    people who seem healthy and carefully monitor their diet, exercise and enviroment are
    dying from arteriosclerotic disease.  But is there a single cause, an underlying
    mechanism behind the risk factors that relates to all of them?  As Lewis Thomas has
    written:  Every disease that we do know about and for which we have really
    settled the issue, so that we can either turn it off, or prevent it once and for all -
    every such disease turns out to be a disease in which there is one central
    mechanism.  On the basis of years of research into every aspect of the
    disease,
    Dr. Gruberg and Dr. Raymond have assembled for the first time the evidence behind a
    different theoryone involving a single compound in the bloodstream called
    homocysteine, and its relationship to vitamin B6 and our intake of proteinwhich
    could very well be a breakthrough in medical science....  Of course, in the book, the authors do give credit
    to the pioneer of the homocysteine theory, our fellow member, Kilmer McCully. 
    Its been probably 10 years since I read the whole book, but they primarily
    concentrate on B6.  We all know that folic acid, B12 and biotin and perhaps some
    methyl donors are also important in keeping homocysteine metabolized
    properly.  By
    the way, Edward R. Gruberg and Stephen A. Raymond are both neurophysiologists
    (PhDs).  They were professors at MIT when the book was written and it appears
    that they wrote this book outside of their fields.  After they wrote this
    book, they
    went on to other things.   Last I checked, Dr. Gruberg and was investigating
    the neural mechanisms underlying selective attention 
    to visual stimuli in the frog at Temple University in Philadelphia.  I
    am not sure where Dr. Raymond is (he may still be at MIT) and judging from his abstracts,
    his work involves sensory nerve fibres etc.  So,
    back to Lewis Thomas quote.  The big question is, is there just one central
    underlying mechanism for the cause CHD (and strokes)? Can CHD be cured only if
    there is just one central mechanism for the cause?   All
    my best, --Alena  
    26. Mars 
    Malcolm Kendrick
    Barry,
    Thanks. I am
    finding this a slightly weird format in which to gain any form of consensus. I assume that
    most people are listening (or reading most e-mails). But people respond at different
    times, to different questions. First, next question, does anyone think that my attempt to
    gain some sort of a consensus has any merit or am I, to use a good old British expression,
    pissing in the wind.   If people think
    that attempting to build a consensus has any value, does anyone have any idea how to do it
    better than I am currently managing? Which is not that well.  I just thought that the idea of writing a
    sceptic book was probably a good idea, but I didnt think it would be
    much use if Chaper One was: Why it is all to do with homocysteine. Chapter
    two: Why it has
    nothing to do with homocysteine. Chapter three: Why CHD is caused by trans-fatty
    acids.
    Chapter four: Why CHD is not caused by trans-fatty acids etc. etc.     So I thought that, if we could at
    least find a few agreed starting points, it may be possible to build up from
    there. Also,
    of course, there is nothing wrong with a book that presents a series of competing
    hypotheses to the cholesterol hypotheses. But I thought that such a book would have to
    start from some agreed facts e.g. the rate of CHD went up in most
    industrialised countries during the twentieth century. But there are those, in this group,
    who disagree with this fact. Or, the rate of CHD has gone down in many countries
    e.g.
    Finland, in the last thirty years (often dramtically). Again, there are those who disagree
    with this fact. Or that smoking (whilst not a primary cause) does accelerate
    the development of occlusive atherosclerotic plaques. Once again, many people dont
    agree with this.  Where can you go from
    here.
    Where can anyone go? If there is not one single fact that people can agree with, then we
    are completely stuck. Uffe, any suggestions?  Malcolm 
      
    Uffe Ravnskov
    Hi Malcolm       I don´t see
    disagreements as an obstacle. Long enough the world has been given the impression that
    there is unanimous agreement about this and that, in particular when it comes to
    atherosclerosis and CHD. Medical science is complicated - we are not studying chemical
    reactions in a test tube, but biological mechanisms in homo sapiens, a species which has
    occupied most of the habitats on this globe, developed the most fantastic variations of
    cultural life and who has survived by eating almost everything in almost all thinkable
    proportions. Of course there are major disagreements around such an achievement, but it
    would be wonderful, (naive thought I agree), if the world could learn that we have yet
    a long distance to walk to find the truths about health and disease. But we know a little,
    in particular about what is unimportant, and more may be revealed in this way of writing. 
    A book with a
    presentation of various hypotheses, one for each chapter, followed, in the same chapter,
    by critical comments by the devil´s advocate (he has several colleagues in our
    group), ending up with the proponent´s answer, could be exciting reading. The question
    is, are there any potential customers for such a book outside our group? Uffe 
      
    Jerome Sullivan
    Dear Malcolm, But
    where is the bottom to build up from? There is more to ischemic heart disease than plaque
    development. Michael Oliver noted some years ago that (1), as a target for preventive
    efforts, ischemic myocardium is a Cinderella to the ugly sisters of coronary
    atheroma and the classic risk factors, since it is the source of
    pain, arrhythmias, failure, and death. A given coronary plaque can be harmless or
    life threatening depending on the vulnerability of myocardium to ischemia. The discussion
    is incomplete if it focuses exclusively on plaque development.   A Tower of Babel accurately
    captures Thomas Kuhns picture of how scientists respond to crisis. His chapter
    Response to Crisis (2) is worth reading by every scientist who sees the
    failure of the cholesterol paradigm as a scientific crisis, in this case also a pressing
    public health crisis.  A couple of pertinent
    quotes from Kuhn (2):  The early attacks
    upon the resistant problem will have followed the paradigm rules quite
    closely. But with
    continuing resistance, more and more of the attacks upon it will have involved some minor
    or not so minor articulations of the paradigm, no two of them quite alike, each partially
    successful, but none sufficiently so to be accepted as a paradigm by the group. Through
    this proliferation of divergent articulations (more and more frequently they will come to
    be described as ad hoc adjustments), the rules of normal science become increasingly
    blurred. Though there is still a paradigm, few practitioners prove to be entirely agreed
    about what it is. Even formerly standard solutions of solved problems are called into
    question. 
    Let us then
    assume that crises are a necessary precondition for the emergence of novel theories and
    ask next how scientists respond to their existence. Part of the answer, as obvious as it
    is important, can be discovered by noting first what scientists never do when confronted
    by even severe and prolonged anomalies. Though they may begin to lose faith and then to
    consider alternatives, they do not renounce the paradigm that has led them into
    crisis.
      . . . once it has achieved the status of a paradigm, a scientific theory is
    declared invalid only if an alternative candidate is available to take its
    place.  Sincerely, Jerome  
            1.      Oliver
    MF. Prevention of coronary heart diseasepropaganda, promises, problems, and
    prospects. Circulation. 1986;73:1-9. 
            2.      Kuhn
    TS. The Structure of Scientific Revolutions. Second ed. The University of Chicago Press,
    Chicago, 1970. 
      
    Morley Sutter
    Dear Malcolm: Golf
    anyone? I understand your frustration but am leary of concensus in science.  It is
    one of the reasons the cholesterol hypothesis is so widely accepted.  How many NIH or
    AHF panels have widely publicised their concensus views on this topic? My credo: If I can
    believe the statistics the epidemiologists present, the rates of atherosclerosis differ
    among countries and groups.  Atherosclerosis
    has decreased in several countries. 
    Smoking increases
    the severity of atherosclerosis. 
    By the way, the
    incidence of TB has markedly increased in Russia. 
    Warm regards, Morley 
      
    Malcolm Kendrick 
    Jerome,  I like Kuhns stuff, although I am a bit of a
    Popper man myself. But, to be prosiac for a moment. Ischaemia is caused by a lack of
    oxygen to the heart muscle. Infarction is caused by an absolute lack of oxygen leading to
    cell death.  There is one basic
    cause. The
    myocardium is working too hard for the coronary arteries to deliver enough oxygen. In
    general, this is because the coronary arteries are narrowed. Chronically, or
    acutely, or
    acute on chronic. I dont understand the concept of the myocardium being vulnerable
    to ischaemia. The myocardium can only be vulnerable to ischaemia if the blood
    supply, and
    therefore the oxygen supply, is compromised in some way (unless you have some lung problem
    e.g. COPD). Or perhaps I am missing something.  Malcolm
      
    Jerome Sullivan 
    Malcolm Kendrick wrote: So,
    perhaps we could agree on a discussion which starts with the disease process that causes
    plaque development. Build from the bottom-up so to speak. I only suggest this
    because, at present, this discussion group - whilst fascinating - is beginning to resemble
    the Tower of Babel.
     
    Dear Malcolm, But where is the bottom to build up from? There
    is more to ischemic heart disease than plaque development. Michael Oliver noted some years
    ago that (1), as a target for preventive efforts, ischemic myocardium is a
    Cinderella to the ugly sisters of coronary atheroma and the classic risk
    factors, since it is the source of pain, arrhythmias, failure, and
    death. A given coronary plaque can be harmless or life threatening depending on the
    vulnerability of myocardium to ischemia. The discussion is incomplete if it focuses
    exclusively on plaque development.  A
    Tower of Babel accurately captures Thomas Kuhns picture of how
    scientists respond to crisis. His chapter Response to Crisis (2) is worth
    reading by every scientist who sees the failure of the cholesterol paradigm as a
    scientific crisis, in this case also a pressing public health crisis. A couple of
    pertinent quotes from Kuhn (2): The early attacks upon the resistant problem will
    have followed the paradigm rules quite closely. But with continuing
    resistance, more and
    more of the attacks upon it will have involved some minor or not so minor articulations of
    the paradigm, no two of them quite alike, each partially successful, but none sufficiently
    so to be accepted as a paradigm by the group. Through this proliferation of divergent
    articulations (more and more frequently they will come to be described as ad hoc
    adjustments), the rules of normal science become increasingly blurred. Though there is
    still a paradigm, few practitioners prove to be entirely agreed about what it is. Even
    formerly standard solutions of solved problems are called into question. Let
    us then assume that crises are a necessary precondition for the emergence of novel
    theories and ask next how scientists respond to their existence. Part of the
    answer, as
    obvious as it is important, can be discovered by noting first what scientists never do
    when confronted by even severe and prolonged anomalies. Though they may begin to lose
    faith and then to consider alternatives, they do not renounce the paradigm that has led
    them into crisis.  . . . once it has achieved the status of a paradigm, a scientific
    theory is declared invalid only if an alternative candidate is available to take its
    place.  Sincerely, Jerome  
            1.      Oliver
    MF. Prevention of coronary heart diseasepropaganda, promises, problems, and
    prospects. Circulation. 1986;73:1-9. 
            2.      Kuhn
    TS. The Structure of Scientific Revolutions. Second ed. The University of Chicago Press,
    Chicago, 1970.
      
    Barry
    Groves 
    Hi Malcolm, Uffe and all   Hopkins
    P N, Williams R R. A survey of 246 suggested coronary risk factors. Atherosclerosis.
    1981; 40: 1-52, lists 246 risk factors for CHD. Since then many more have been
    added and the number now is well over three hundred.
    Some
    are obviously frivolous, but many have been suggested as serious contenders in the battle
    to wreck hearts. We obviously cannot write a book that considers them all, or even all the
    more likely ones. I think epidmiology must come to our rescue here.  
     CHD
    is a twentieth century phenomenon. Whatever caused the dramatic rise that began in the
    1920s, it cannot have been 246 or more different things: That many could not have all
    started at the same time. And if they all really did play a part, we have no hope of
    understanding the aetiology of the disease.   Was
    it better detection that found a new disease that had been there for
    centuries? I dont believe so. Physicians were very good at dissecting corpses to
    find causes for disease. Had there been the degree of blocked coronary
    arteries in the 18th century that we saw in the 20th, I am sure
    that it would have been recorded.    I
    believe that probably no more than two or three factors came together at the time.      So, what happened that
    could possibly have precipitated that increase in CHD in the 1920s? If atherosclerosis
    plays a causal part, it must be something in the late 19th or early 20th
    centuries as atheroma doesnt build up overnight. And, if you have read my
    paper, Why is CHD Declining?, you will know that I believe something in or
    about 1926 started the present decline in CHD mortality we see today in Britain.      So what few factors came
    into our lives (environment) in the late 19th century and went out of it in the
    middle of the 1920s, or were modified at that time? And if homocysteine, or
    bacteria, or
    inflammation, or iron sufficiency, etc, are causally related to CHD now, what stopped
    them affecting us a century ago?
          Isnt this philosophy fun!      As to potential
    readers,
    Uffe, there is the rub. Publishers are in business to make money: they dont
    care what the book is about, so long as it sells. To make money I think this
    book will have to be written to appeal to the public at large (I dont
    think that there would be a big takeup in the medical professions as it will not be
    politically correct.). And I am not sure how it could be written, to make it appeal to
    such a readershipin a publishers eyes.
       Barry 
      
    Tom Clayton
    Does anybody know where I can get a list of the 246
    risk factors.? It just goes to show you how screwed up the medical
    establishment is when it is concluded that there are 246 risk factors that, it is
    assumed,
    if modified, will decrease the risk of heart disease. Logically, this is
    absurd, as the parameters of what constitutes a risk factor obviously do not exist  or they are so faulty as to permit this to  happen.   
     This is more and more like a bureaucracy as each little fiefdom tries to get
    more money so that they can do more research.  If the problem is
    solved,
    the research money dries up.  So that is a big no-no. The intelligent mind
    simplifies, not complicates, and to suggest cause and effect  for most of these factors is simply
    wrong.  There are some very basic features that are overlooked, as people continue looking for  the
    forest without seeing the trees.  How about the fact that processed foods did not
    exist before the  first of the 20
    century?
      That farmland deprived of its mineral nutrients was rare?  That the average
    age of death of males was 47 in 1900 and that many  of
    those deaths were related to infectious disease or trauma?  What about the fact that
    infectious  diseases were often
    localized,
    because travel was not nearly as widespread as it is today?    How do we
    really know that CHD disease did not exist where most doctors had no idea what to look
    for, and many people died prematurely of other causes?   We act like
    record-keeping systems were as good as they are today, but the fact is that they were not.    Tom Clayton,  
      
    27.Mars
    Uffe
    Ravnskov 
    Hi Barry   CHD was certainly known by a few. But vital
    statistics is based on all death certificates of a country and post mortems are performed on a few
    only. If no post mortem is performed on 80-90 per cent of the deaths, how could doctors
    put the correct diagnosis on the death certificate without any hard evidence for CHD
    before death? A true number of individuals dying from CHD every year demands that all
    practising doctors in that country know the disease and are able to diagnose it. Without
    an ECG apparatus and without access to a laboratory with diagnostic tests to verify the
    diagnosis I would guess that the majority of CHD cases were classified as something
    else. Uffe  
    Martin Sturman
      
    Dear All, especially
    Barry, Uffe, and Malcolm,   I find it
    daunting to step into this chaotic discussion and attempt to give only my two cents
    worth-sans bibliography, no less. I will just add a few comments related to the
    correspondence over the past few days about coronary disease.     First CHD is Not a new
    disease -it is, in fact, not a single entity in the first place, but a
    spectrum of degenerative/metabolic/genetic/ emotional, and anatomic factors
    (remember Paul
    Roschs comment on Poiseulless Law?) that combine in various ways to produce
    what we insist on giving a name -a kind of rampant reductionism, not uncommon to medicine
    Atherosclerosis and its various forms have been identified in preserved
    bodies, including
    Egyptian mummies, and going back before, perhaps to the dawn of civilization.  The
    relation of angina  to disease of the coronary arteries was not recognized as a
    clinical entity until Hering, I think in the late 19th  century, but
    historically autopsy studies before the early 1900s do not offer us any insight into
    the prevalence of the condition, prior to modern times.  Moreover, the clearcut
    progression of various vasculopathies with age-atherosclerosis, medial
    necrosis, arterial
    calcification-occurring in various vascular territories, cardiac, cerebral,
    renal, aorta,
    lower extremities,etc. related to age-and sex (plus diabetes, lipid disorders, etc.),
    makes it is almost impossible to draw broad conclusions about the occurrence of this
    syndrome prior to modern times. This is particularly true since the average life
    expectancy in the late 19th Century, was about 40-45 years -or less.     As to the 264 Risk factors, they are
    Associations, some   incontestable (smoking, heredity, hypertension, stress,
    diabetes, sex, age), and some factitious, some undiscovered.  Even, if strong
    statistical data exists or can be extracted from the newest work on CoQ10, nitric
    oxide,
    antioxidants, infection-all of which may play a role-a cause or result of vascular
    disease?, no association is evidence of causality. Unlike diseases of known
    etiology, such as the infections diseases, the causation of CHD will never fulfill
    Kochs postulates, simply because coronary disease or vascular sclerosis or
    atherosclerosis is not a single entity but an assemblage of them.  
    Our problem, gentlemen and ladies, is simply one of data drowning.  As Finagels
    law states: 
            The data we have are not the data we want 
            The data we want are not the data we need 
            The data we need are not
    available. 
    I do not agree to any unitary hypothesis of Grand Unified Field Theory of the etiology of
    atherosclerosis or CHD, let alone Aging, nor do I think there will ever be
    one.  If
    the physicists want to explain reality with a set of equations and reduce the universe to
    one quark or elementary particle, I say, good show -but they can never tell me
    what strawberry jam tastes like. I do think abnormalities in lipid metabolism play a role
    (pace!, members), but other factors, known and unknown, and many
    undiscoverable, are important.  This doesnt mean we should not pursue our discussions and
    speculations, but let us not get carried away with unprovable assertions.  As a great
    British physician once said, They explain the inexplicable by invoking the
    unknowable.     
    For
    the meantime, I will refrain from smoking, and statin ingestion, and keep to my normal
    diet: fat, salt , and sugar. This is not meant to be dismissive of attempts to find
    factors associated with atherogenesis and vascular disease.  I am only
    saying, that
    in certain realms of medicine, we have to confess that the strict laws of causality do not
    hold.  But then again, getting back to physics, true causality is an idiots
    chimera.   Any comments?  Martin Sturman 
      
    Kilmer McCully
    In reply to Barry
    Groves, the factor introduced in the late 19th century that could explain the
    20th century occurrence of coronary heart disease is food processing,
    especially extraction of sugar, steel roller press milling of grains into refined flours,
    extraction of oils, canning, and the use of chemical additives such as bleach,
    bromination, etc.  The effect of consuming these refined foods is to decrease the
    dietary consumption of the chemically sensitive B vitamins, folic acid and B6, which are
    largely destroyed by these methods of food processing.  The decreased dietary intake
    of these two B vitamins probably led to an increase in blood homocysteine, causing
    arterial plaques by a direct effect of homocysteine on the cells and tissues of artery
    walls.  The reason that mortality from coronary heart disease has declined since
    peaking in the early 1960s is the introduction of synthetic folic acid and pyridoxine to
    the food supply.  These B vitamins are now consumed mainly in the form of voluntary
    fortification of cereals and vitamin supplements.  Since 1997, folic acid has been
    mandated by the flours.  The consequence is the nearly doubling of plasma folic acid
    concentrations and the significant decline in plasma homocysteine concentrations, as
    reported in Framingham Heart Study participants.  At a nation-wide conference at the
    National Institutes of Health in 1979, the traditional risk factors, such as dietary
    cholesterol and fats, smoking, exercise, hypertension, etc were not found to have changed
    sufficiently to explain the decline in coronary heart disease mortality in the US since
    the 1960s.  As I explained in my book The Heart Revolution, the introduction of food
    processing with the Industrial Revolution in the 19th century and the use of
    chemical additives and other processes in the 20th century is the only
    satisfactory explanation for the dramatic changes in incidence of vascular disease in the
    20th century. Kilmer S. McCully  
      
    Dale Atrens
    Dear Barry
    Forgive me for being orthogonal, but Im really following up an earlier posting
    of yours.   You mentioned skepticism over the health effects of smoking.  I am
    not terribly familiar with this area but I am deeply suspicious of ANY argument that rests
    heavily on epidemiological research.  There is a substantial literature showing that
    people who take up smoking are unhealthier to begin with and these initial differences
    badly confound subsequent health differences.   Clearly,
    controlled experiments cant be done with humans so this basically leaves animal
    research.  I have asked repeatedly anti-smoking zealots to show me evidence from
    infra-human species indicating that smoking causes cancer (or any illness at all).  I
    am aware of a few studies showing no effects at all, but in spite of my oft-repeated
    request for experimental evidence, I have yet to see any. At the moment, I see the
    smoking-health as eminently plausible, but plausibility is a long way from
    proof.  Perhaps you could clarify this for
    me.  All the best
      dale 
      
    Barry Groves
    Hello Dale   There is more to tobacco than meets the eye. The late Dr Richard Passey of the Chester Beatty Research
    Institute, London, spent 20
    years investigating smoking and cancer. He was intrigued by the different cancer rates
    between cigarette smokers and cigar smokers. So he looked into the different tobaccos and
    the smoke they produced. He noted that cigar tobacco is air-cured, while most British
    cigarette tobacco was flue-cured. In cigarettes in other countriesthe USA,
    Francethese two types are mixed, which gives the different tastes in those
    countries.    The significance of
    the different cures is that flue-cured tobaccos use sugar or molasses in their
    cure, while
    air-cured tobaccos do not. Passey showed that high-sugar tobacco made a much more acid
    smoke, while air-cured tobacco smoke was weakly acid or alkaline.
    Passeys thesis was supported by Dr GB Gori, associate director of the
    USAs NCI and chairman of the Tobacco Working Group. He said that acid tobacco would
    be inhaled more than the air-cured tobacco. Passey pointed out in Medical World News 14 January 1972 and 16 March 1973, that: 
      
    1.  England and Wales had the worlds highest rates
    of lung cancer for men. British cigarettes had the highest sugar content at 17%.    
    2.  American men smoked more cigarettes per
    capita than the British but had a lung cancer incidence only half the British rate.
    Their tobacco was blended and had an average 10% sugar.   
    3.  French men smoked 2/3 as many cigarettes but had
    only 1/3 the lung cancer. Their tobacco was air dried and had 2% sugar.    
    4.  In Russia, China, Formosa and other countries where
    only air-dried tobacco was used for cigarettes, similar to the native American
    Indians tobacco, Passey found no correlation at all between smoking
    and lung cancer.    
    This was confirmed,
    says Passey, by Japanese doctor friends who were amused at the official US doctrine. He
    says they were confident that within a decade, the NCI would have to admit that the
    tremendous excess sugar and artificial chemicalisation of food, particularly
    chemicalisation of animal protein, were involved in causing lung cancer.  
      
    Malhotra and Pathania
    also found no difference in CHD incidence between Sikhs who smoked and Hindus who did not.
    (Reference isnt to hand, but I remember it was in the Lancet, in 1958.) Barry 
      
    Malcolm Kendrick  
    Martin, For your
    interest, the reference for the 246 risk factors is, as follows: Hopkins PN, Williams RR.
    AA survey of 246 suggested coronary risk factors. Atherosclerosis 1981 Aug-Sep;40(1)1-52)  
    1: Positive family
    history of early CHD 2:Age 3: Male sex etc. 246: Drug allergies  
    Just a few other facts to throw
    into your letter:   1:    John Hunter described angina in 1793,
    and is thought to have died of an MI
          2:    Virchow and Rokitansky were
    both examining atherosclerotic plaques in 1850
         3:    I have read the paper on
    atherosclerotic plaques in mummified Egyptian bodies. They had them    4:    Osler was
    describing CHD patients at the turn of the nineteenth century     5:    William
    Harvey (who first described the circulatory system 1628) described symptoms of angina -
    possibly.  
    I do take issue with your comment that the
    average life expectancy was 40 - 45. This is true, but the average tells you litte about
    how long people actually lived. For that you need the mode. An awful lot of children died
    in earlir days, as did a lot of women of childbearing age. In
    reality, the
    increase in life expectancy, once you managed to reach the age of 16, has
    increased, in
    the UK, by 18 months since 1900. In short, get past childhood, and not much has changed in
    terms of life expectancy.  So whats my
    point. Not quite sure. However, I think we can safely say that CHD has been present for
    thousands of years - it is not new. However, we seem to have no idea what the actual rate
    was, say, one hundred years ago. It is definitely true that, in the UK, dropsy
    was quite common (dont ask me what quite common means. Jane Austin described it).
    Dropsy was the term used to describe, loosely, heart failure. And by far the commonest
    cause of heart failure is a previous MI. So it is possible that CHD was fairly common in
    the UK prior to the twentieth century.  So, if
    we are looking for causes, they must have been present prior to processed
    foods. So, if it
    is all due to a lack of vitamin B6 this doesnt fit. Nor can a lack of Vitamin B6 be
    made to fit with CHD rates in teh UK. During world war 2 the Goverment made bread that was
    full of vitamins, including viatmin B6 to offset the effects of rationing. During the next
    ten years the rate of CHD in the UK quadrupled.
         I suppose, also, finally, everything does have a
    cause. At
    present, I believe, the rate of CHD in rural China is less that one thirtieth the rate of
    CHD in Lithuania, age matched. It has to be possible to say that there is a cause in there
    somewhere that can be  found. Malcolm 
      
    Jerome Sullivan
    Malcolm Kendrick
    wrote:     I dont understand the concept of the myocardium
    being vulnerable to ischaemia.
          Dear Malcolm,
       Much of research and practice in cardiology is predicated upon the
    possibility that vulnerability of myocardium to ischemia can be modified.  Specifically with regard to the role of
    iron, the
    following papers may be a start in helping to understand the concept of myocardium being
    vulnerable to ischemia (1-6).  Sincerely,   Jerome
       
            1.      Sullivan
    JL. The iron paradigm of ischemic heart disease. Am Heart J. 1989;117:1177-1188. 
            2.      Horwitz
    LD, Rosenthal EA. Iron-mediated cardiovascular injury. Vasc Med. 1999;4:93-99. 
            3.      de
    Valk B, Marx JJ. Iron, atherosclerosis, and ischemic heart
    disease. Arch Intern Med. 1999;159:1542-1548. 
            4.      Sullivan
    JL, Zacharski LR. Hereditary haemochromatosis and the hypothesis
    that iron depletion protects against ischemic heart disease. Eur J Clin Invest.
    2001;31:375-377. 
            5.      Nitenberg
    A, Ledoux S, Valensi P et al. Coronary microvascular adaptation to myocardial metabolic
    demand can be restored by inhibition of iron-catalyzed formation of oxygen free radicals
    in type 2 diabetic patients. Diabetes. 2002;51:813-818. 
            6.      Sasaki
    K, Hashida K, Michigami Y et al. Restored vulnerability of cultured endothelial cells to
    high glucose by iron replenishment. Biochem Biophys Res Commun. 2001;289:664-669. 
      
    Martin Sturman
    Malcolm,  Many thanks for your interesting letter, the
    reference, and your general agreement with my thesis that coronary disease has been with
    us at least for thousands of years. I agree with your assessment of life expectancy in the
    19th century when the high infant and maternal mortality rate caused a
    misperception of the modal rate, which, as you say, has not changed all that much since
    the early 1900s.  It is true that Virchow and Rokitansky were examining
    atherosclerotic plaques in the 1850s, but I have no idea of the incidence of these
    lesions at that time, nor of the recorded results, prevalence of these lesions at autopsy
    until well into the 20th Century.   I have to assume that heart
    failure, dropsy, was secondary to coronary disease, as well as rheumatic valvular disease
    which was probably even more common until the advent of penicillin.      As an aside, you may be
    interested to know that Sir John Hunter (1728-1793) , the great British
    surgeon, once remarked, I am at the mercy of anyone who chooses to annoy
    me.  Indeed,
    he dropped dead in the heat of an argument in the Board room of St. Georges
    Hospital.      I would
    like to think everything has a cause -or more likely multiple
    causes, but in
    the case of CHD, I remain a non-reductionist. Undoubtedly geography, diet, and multiple
    other factors cause wider disparities in the distribution of coronary
    disease, but there
    are multiple associated confounding biases that make interpretation of causality
    exceedingly difficult. Thanks again for your thoughtful letter 
      
    Joel Kaufmann
    Dear Uffe:      My opinion remains that there
    are a  only few hundred potential customers for the proposed book for medical
    professionals.  True, there are at least 2 million who should read such a
    book, but...        Some of
    the recent e-mails indicate that Medical Hypotheses is a good format for
    chapter-equivalents from the book, and these could include
    devils advocates. (Of course, I assume that Medical Hypotheses is not
    reactionary.)        --Joel 
      
    27. Mars 
    
    Uffe Ravnskov  
    
    Hi Jörgen  If you never have heard  
    about CHD you will call chest and arm pains for anything else: musculoskeletal disease,
    dyspepsia, gallstone etc. When knowledge about  CHD and its many diverse symptoms was
    disseminated, more and more doctors changed their diagnostic habit and more and more
    patients got the diagnosis CHD. And when ECG and later on transaminase analyses became
    available, even the many less characteristic cases were included in that diagnostic group.
    By this reason it is simply impossible to say whether CHD has increased or not - the
    question is unavailable for falsification.    Uffe 
    28. Mars 
    Jørgen Vesti Nielsen 
    
    Thanks Uffe  That is what I
    mean.
    Well never be able to know! There are historical arguments of the archaeological
    type for and against an epidemic. (when you interpret your finds from a dig
    you try to imagine what sort of people used them)   
    For examplefor: To give an exact diagnosis (including autopsy) and prognosis
    was the central purpose for doctors in those days, since they were unable to actually do
    very much. I would not think it likely that they should have overlooked such an obvious
    set of symptoms, all pointing to involvement of the heart, in so many mid-adult
    people,
    including their friends and colleagues, if the rates had been high. I am sure more and
    more doctors changed their diagnostic habits, but the reason I object to  this theory
    as the sole and only explanation is that it gives a poor fit. For instance was the upward
    trend for the general term diseases of the heart that began in 1920 in USA
    markedly greater for males right from the beginning. 
     Against:   The deaths
    certificates are highly inaccurate and potentially misleading except, as Stebhens points
    out in Lancet, March 14, 1987, when used to indicate a very general trend. Is a very
    general trend, perhaps, what we are talking about?  
    And, further.... Oops, I seem to be getting an attack of acute
    stubbornness. Anyway, as you say, the question is not available for
    falsification. Happy Easter   Jorgen 
      
    Malcolm Kendrick
    Jorgen  Happy Easter.
      Whilst we cannot travel back into the past to establish whether or not CHD
    was very rare, or common, one hundred years ago,  or two thousand years ago.We
    can, perhaps, efffectively travel back in time by looking at populations, today, who live a
    lifesytle that is less industrialised - or roughly equivalent to the way the people used
    to live in Europe hundreds of years ago e.g. Massa villagers in Kenya, Rural Chinese or
    Indian populations.  I think I can
    state, with
    relative confidence, that rural, non-industrialsed populations all have a very low rate of
    CHD. This is independent of any dietary factor. However, when you take, for
    example, the
    rural Indian population and move them into cities, the rate of CHD increases
    dramatically.
    When you take an Indian population and move them to a highly industrialised society
    e.g.
    the USA, the rate of CHD jumps again, perhpas a fifteen to twentyfold absolute increase in
    CHD deaths. Again independent of any dietary factor. This would fit with the general
    observation that CHD is primarily a disease of modern, industrialised civilisations, and
    would support the hypothesis that CHD did, in fact, increase pretty dramatically during
    most of the twentieth century. There are still populations, I believe, with no cases of
    death from CHD. Tuvalu, I think, is one such place. In short, although
    unproveable, I
    think that it is extremely likely that death from CHD (before say, the age of 75) was
    uncommon in Europe and the USA one hundred years ago. It is now, still, the leading cause
    of death. I would also say that James MacKenzies finding of a high rate of CHD in
    Northern England one hundred years ago would not, in any way contradict this general
    hypothesis. The North of England, at that time, was highly industrialised, and further
    advanced (if that is the right word for it) than anywhere else in the world.  Malcolm  
           
            |